COTY34 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Coty Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Latest close 7.20 BRL
5.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 16.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 25.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 7.20 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.1% latest completed week
4W Return 25.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 36.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.24% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 16.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 25.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2612-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.26Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 25.9% over four weeks, 36.6% over 12 weeks, and -45.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%
4W25.9%
12W36.6%
26W4.3%
52W-45.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.59Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change133.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change63.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-13.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20267.20 BRL5.1%6.18 BRL18.30 BRL1.59-14.966.2KOff
31 Jul 20266.85 BRL9.1%6.22 BRL18.44 BRL1.40-23.246.9KOff
24 Jul 20266.28 BRL-5.4%6.27 BRL18.58 BRL1.21-29.793.3KOff
17 Jul 20266.64 BRL16.1%6.35 BRL18.73 BRL0.98-27.467.3KOff
10 Jul 20265.72 BRL-1.2%6.43 BRL18.89 BRL0.68-40.38461Off
3 Jul 20265.79 BRL14.0%6.53 BRL19.05 BRL0.57-39.95295Off
26 Jun 20265.08 BRL-0.8%6.65 BRL19.21 BRL0.38-48.161Off
19 Jun 20265.12 BRL-2.5%6.76 BRL19.37 BRL0.43-47.432Off
12 Jun 20265.25 BRL6.3%6.88 BRL19.53 BRL0.40-48.1143Off
5 Jun 20264.94 BRL-11.6%7.01 BRL19.67 BRL0.38-51.652Off
29 May 20265.59 BRL8.5%7.18 BRL19.81 BRL0.48-48.002.0KOff
22 May 20265.15 BRL-2.3%7.35 BRL19.95 BRL0.32-53.742.4KOff
15 May 20265.27 BRL-13.3%7.55 BRL20.10 BRL0.22-53.932.7KOff
8 May 20266.08 BRL1.2%7.76 BRL20.24 BRL0.09-49.904.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context