WAF ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

West African Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Gold

Latest close 3.48 AUD
22.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.5%, after a 22.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 3.48 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 22.5% latest completed week
4W Return 22.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.5%, after a 22.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2312-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 22.1% over four weeks, 6.4% over 12 weeks, and 30.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W22.5%
4W22.1%
12W6.4%
26W8.7%
52W30.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change198.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 65%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework98/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
63.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
52.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
23.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
38.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
111.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
111.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

7 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+22.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.48 AUD22.5%3.17 AUD2.04 AUD-0.646.7723.7MOff
31 Jul 20262.84 AUD1.4%3.16 AUD2.02 AUD-1.10-9.7215.0MOff
24 Jul 20262.80 AUD3.7%3.17 AUD2.01 AUD-1.13-8.6420.0MOff
17 Jul 20262.70 AUD-5.3%3.18 AUD2.00 AUD-1.11-11.9320.3MOff
10 Jul 20262.85 AUD-2.1%3.19 AUD1.99 AUD-0.96-6.8821.1MOff
3 Jul 20262.91 AUD1.0%3.19 AUD1.97 AUD-0.97-5.015.5MOff
26 Jun 20262.88 AUD-7.4%3.19 AUD1.96 AUD-0.98-4.835.0MOff
19 Jun 20263.11 AUD3.7%3.19 AUD1.95 AUD-0.912.426.0MOff
12 Jun 20263.00 AUD-2.9%3.18 AUD1.93 AUD-1.04-0.386.9MOff
5 Jun 20263.09 AUD-2.5%3.18 AUD1.92 AUD-0.925.122.4MOff
29 May 20263.17 AUD5.3%3.18 AUD1.90 AUD-0.886.9824.2MOff
22 May 20263.01 AUD-8.0%3.18 AUD1.89 AUD-0.952.6222.9MOff
15 May 20263.27 AUD3.2%3.18 AUD1.88 AUD-0.8012.0217.6MOn
8 May 20263.17 AUD5.0%3.17 AUD1.86 AUD-0.837.8420.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context