- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
MLG
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MLG Oz Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.74 AUD
-0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
0.74 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.8%.
Indicator stack
34/55
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 8.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, -5.7% over 12 weeks, and 1.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change84.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change16.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework64/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 18.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 100.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 15.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 9.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -10.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank30 / 100
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth22.0%
Trend22.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS39.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Factors75/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 29; Buyback Yield rank 58; Small Cap Core rank 4 SVQF64/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 92.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
MLG OZ Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.74 AUD | -0.7% | 0.81 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.08 | -16.00 | 572.3K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.75 AUD | 10.3% | 0.82 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.22 | -12.78 | 781.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.68 AUD | 3.0% | 0.82 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.38 | -19.09 | 214.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.66 AUD | -3.6% | 0.83 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.42 | -21.83 | 1.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.69 AUD | -6.8% | 0.83 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.51 | -19.10 | 1.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.73 AUD | 0.0% | 0.84 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -0.75 | -13.71 | 174.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.73 AUD | -3.3% | 0.85 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -1.01 | -13.03 | 25.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.76 AUD | 3.4% | 0.85 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -1.22 | -10.79 | 43.3K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.73 AUD | 1.4% | 0.85 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -1.34 | -13.58 | 86.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.72 AUD | 4.3% | 0.86 AUD | 0.70 AUD | -1.14 | -13.01 | 690.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.69 AUD | -1.4% | 0.86 AUD | 0.69 AUD | -1.06 | -17.56 | 169.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.70 AUD | -10.8% | 0.87 AUD | 0.69 AUD | -1.01 | -15.65 | 551.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.79 AUD | 0.0% | 0.88 AUD | 0.69 AUD | -1.03 | -5.11 | 3.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.79 AUD | 1.3% | 0.88 AUD | 0.69 AUD | -1.27 | -6.02 | 1.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.