ROML NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Raj Oil Mills Limited · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 44.81 INR
0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 44.81 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.37% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.2% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -0.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.9%
4W-1.2%
12W-4.0%
26W1.9%
52W-0.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-120.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-94.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum49/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework73/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
32.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
73.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4232.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

2 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202644.81 INR0.9%44.72 INR49.37 INR-0.14-3.907.7KOff
31 Jul 202644.41 INR-0.2%44.84 INR49.35 INR0.07-4.0615.5KOff
24 Jul 202644.51 INR0.2%45.05 INR49.36 INR0.19-1.5413.6KOff
17 Jul 202644.42 INR-2.1%45.30 INR49.42 INR0.38-4.2421.6KOff
10 Jul 202645.35 INR0.1%45.46 INR49.40 INR0.70-2.018.8KOff
3 Jul 202645.30 INR-3.1%45.61 INR49.37 INR0.65-2.691.5KOff
26 Jun 202646.73 INR-0.5%45.77 INR49.35 INR0.660.820Off
19 Jun 202646.95 INR3.4%45.90 INR49.32 INR0.651.1747.0KOff
12 Jun 202645.40 INR-1.0%46.03 INR49.28 INR0.51-0.861.5KOff
5 Jun 202645.85 INR-0.5%46.20 INR49.26 INR0.690.611.1KOff
29 May 202646.10 INR0.7%46.39 INR49.26 INR0.690.447.9KOff
22 May 202645.80 INR-1.9%46.57 INR49.21 INR0.65-0.9021.5KOff
15 May 202646.69 INR1.9%46.89 INR49.17 INR0.471.4456.2KOff
8 May 202645.80 INR1.4%47.05 INR49.13 INR0.23-2.6014.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context