- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
UMESLTD
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Usha Martin Education & Solutions Limited · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Latest close
5.57 INR
2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
5.57 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
10.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.75% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.1%.
Indicator stack
57/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.75%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3912-week average 0.52
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, 10.5% over 12 weeks, and -5.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-0.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-64.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum45/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Growth43/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 37.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 16.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 33.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 73.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 49.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 50.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 67.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 25.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -61.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
2 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+58.0%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-8.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Education & Training Services
4-week rank12 / 19
Group average-1.6%
Trend breadth47.4%
Trend47.4%active weekly trend signals
MD57.9%positive activity pressure
RS36.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.39; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.75%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.75% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 20 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
Pearson Stock And 2 Education Shares Facing UK Policy Pressure Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.57 INR | 2.0% | 5.50 INR | 5.91 INR | -0.57 | 2.92 | 29.4K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.46 INR | 1.3% | 5.47 INR | 5.90 INR | -0.56 | 1.52 | 49.9K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.39 INR | -0.2% | 5.46 INR | 5.89 INR | -0.54 | 2.62 | 28.4K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.40 INR | -7.1% | 5.45 INR | 5.87 INR | -0.54 | 0.35 | 137.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.81 INR | -3.8% | 5.44 INR | 5.86 INR | -0.57 | 8.22 | 120.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.04 INR | 8.2% | 5.41 INR | 5.84 INR | -0.54 | 12.34 | 28.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.58 INR | -2.8% | 5.37 INR | 5.83 INR | -0.47 | 4.88 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.74 INR | 0.0% | 5.35 INR | 5.81 INR | -0.29 | 8.13 | 24.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.74 INR | -1.0% | 5.33 INR | 5.80 INR | -0.19 | 10.05 | 1.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.80 INR | 0.3% | 5.30 INR | 5.79 INR | -0.12 | 12.55 | 56.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.78 INR | 19.9% | 5.28 INR | 5.77 INR | -0.01 | 11.53 | 228.5K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.82 INR | -4.4% | 5.26 INR | 5.76 INR | 0.13 | -7.60 | 271.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.04 INR | -7.7% | 5.27 INR | 5.75 INR | 0.37 | -3.32 | 367.6K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.46 INR | -8.2% | 5.29 INR | 5.74 INR | 0.65 | 2.28 | 283.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.