INCREDIBLE NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Incredible Industries Limited · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 32.51 INR
-1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -2.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 32.51 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.9% latest completed week
4W Return -2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -2.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.0% over four weeks, -7.9% over 12 weeks, and -17.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%
4W-2.0%
12W-7.9%
26W-9.0%
52W-17.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-234.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-16.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value53/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality52/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth52/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework77/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-7.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
8.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-7.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-142.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 20 relevant articles.

15 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol1.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202632.51 INR-1.9%34.46 INR39.66 INR-0.35-13.3836.7KOff
31 Jul 202633.15 INR-0.7%34.61 INR39.62 INR-0.13-11.3345.2KOff
24 Jul 202633.39 INR0.6%34.86 INR39.59 INR-0.03-8.6562.8KOff
17 Jul 202633.18 INR0.1%35.05 INR39.55 INR0.02-11.5810.2KOff
10 Jul 202633.16 INR0.3%35.27 INR39.50 INR0.26-11.4650.6KOff
3 Jul 202633.06 INR0.5%35.51 INR39.44 INR0.25-12.261.2KOff
26 Jun 202632.90 INR-2.8%35.67 INR39.40 INR0.36-12.210Off
19 Jun 202633.84 INR-2.2%35.91 INR39.35 INR0.49-9.793.8KOff
12 Jun 202634.60 INR-1.9%36.17 INR39.29 INR0.55-6.462.3KOff
5 Jun 202635.26 INR-0.7%36.49 INR39.23 INR0.60-3.911.7KOff
29 May 202635.52 INR0.8%36.81 INR39.15 INR0.69-4.2517.0KOff
22 May 202635.24 INR-0.2%37.14 INR39.07 INR0.61-6.0924.3KOff
15 May 202635.30 INR-5.5%37.48 INR38.97 INR0.53-5.7540.6KOff
8 May 202637.34 INR9.3%37.80 INR38.88 INR0.45-2.57102.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context