- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
CWR
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ceres Power Holdings plc · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Latest close
421.4 GBP
21.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.4%, after a -8.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
421.4 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
21.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-42.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
21.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -8.6%.
Indicator stack
51/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.4%, after a -8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6112-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -8.6% over four weeks, -42.6% over 12 weeks, and 264.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-64.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-66.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 73%
Model confidence 58%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 27.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 69.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -135.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -67.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -44.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -37.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
4 positive · 16 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-51.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-31.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+21.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains13
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol15.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.9% / -10.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Industrials
4-week rank97 / 100
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Electrical Equipment & Parts
4-week rank10 / 12
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS41.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.61; 4 reversal markers Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 84; Small Cap Core rank 89 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
What ITM Power (LSE:ITM) and Ceres Power (LSE:CWR) Reveal About UK Energy Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 421.4 GBP | 21.4% | 452.9 GBP | 232.0 GBP | -0.74 | 11.03 | 15.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 347.0 GBP | -9.6% | 447.2 GBP | 231.4 GBP | -0.76 | -6.96 | 14.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 384.0 GBP | 4.5% | 442.8 GBP | 231.4 GBP | -0.71 | 5.35 | 11.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 367.6 GBP | -20.2% | 437.5 GBP | 231.2 GBP | -0.67 | 3.59 | 17.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 460.8 GBP | -12.6% | 432.6 GBP | 231.6 GBP | -0.45 | 32.93 | 7.8M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 527.0 GBP | 16.8% | 426.3 GBP | 230.9 GBP | -0.26 | 52.36 | 3.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 451.2 GBP | -31.1% | 420.2 GBP | 229.4 GBP | 0.02 | 35.59 | 3.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 654.5 GBP | 10.7% | 417.5 GBP | 228.4 GBP | 0.57 | 103.55 | 5.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 591.0 GBP | -12.4% | 406.1 GBP | 226.3 GBP | 0.94 | 88.20 | 1.8M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 675.0 GBP | -20.1% | 398.2 GBP | 224.7 GBP | 1.32 | 123.91 | 2.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 844.5 GBP | 4.6% | 387.5 GBP | 222.2 GBP | 1.59 | 189.77 | 15.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 807.5 GBP | 9.9% | 368.3 GBP | 218.8 GBP | 1.63 | 190.08 | 17.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 734.5 GBP | 2.4% | 349.6 GBP | 215.5 GBP | 1.60 | 185.25 | 12.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 717.0 GBP | 12.6% | 332.8 GBP | 212.9 GBP | 1.52 | 191.51 | 15.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.