COTY PAR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Coty Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Latest close 2.42 EUR
2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 28.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 2.42 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return 28.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 34.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 17.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 28.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 28.0% over four weeks, 34.4% over 12 weeks, and -41.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.5%
4W28.0%
12W34.4%
26W11.1%
52W-41.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change60.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change62.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

1 positive · 10 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-15.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol12.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262.42 EUR2.5%2.07 EUR6.06 EUR0.84-12.102.3KOff
31 Jul 20262.36 EUR1.7%2.08 EUR6.09 EUR0.84-13.536.3KOff
24 Jul 20262.32 EUR0.9%2.09 EUR6.11 EUR0.83-14.9512.4KOff
17 Jul 20262.30 EUR21.7%2.09 EUR6.14 EUR0.70-16.6722.9KOff
10 Jul 20261.89 EUR-13.3%2.11 EUR6.16 EUR0.52-32.576.1KOff
3 Jul 20262.18 EUR31.3%2.14 EUR6.19 EUR0.48-25.172.0KOff
26 Jun 20261.66 EUR-1.2%2.17 EUR6.22 EUR0.34-43.161.7KOff
19 Jun 20261.68 EUR-6.1%2.21 EUR6.25 EUR0.45-43.69443Off
12 Jun 20261.79 EUR8.5%2.24 EUR6.28 EUR0.57-40.627.3KOff
5 Jun 20261.65 EUR-13.2%2.29 EUR6.32 EUR0.59-45.384.8KOff
29 May 20261.90 EUR5.6%2.34 EUR6.35 EUR0.72-37.9916.7KOff
22 May 20261.80 EUR0.0%2.39 EUR6.38 EUR0.59-41.7529.0KOff
15 May 20261.80 EUR-15.1%2.45 EUR6.41 EUR0.55-41.5017.8KOff
8 May 20262.12 EUR5.0%2.51 EUR6.45 EUR0.47-33.5913.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context