BTR ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Brightstar Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Gold

Latest close 0.42 AUD
32.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 32.8%, after a 26.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 0.42 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 32.8% latest completed week
4W Return 26.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.64% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 32.8%, after a 26.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0512-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 26.9% over four weeks, 18.1% over 12 weeks, and -1.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W32.8%
4W26.9%
12W18.1%
26W-15.0%
52W-1.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change100.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change67.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 24% Model confidence 12%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value65/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum65/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Growth65/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
0/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

6 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-22.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+32.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains2
Flat weeks4
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol10.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.4% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.42 AUD32.8%0.41 AUD0.44 AUD0.00-8.2858.8MOff
31 Jul 20260.32 AUD0.0%0.41 AUD0.44 AUD-0.53-28.8111.0MOff
24 Jul 20260.32 AUD1.6%0.42 AUD0.44 AUD-0.46-27.5419.8MOff
17 Jul 20260.32 AUD-6.0%0.42 AUD0.44 AUD-0.53-29.3812.1MOff
10 Jul 20260.34 AUD-5.6%0.43 AUD0.44 AUD-0.62-25.719.7MOff
3 Jul 20260.35 AUD16.4%0.44 AUD0.44 AUD-0.83-22.054.2MOff
26 Jun 20260.30 AUD-6.2%0.44 AUD0.44 AUD-1.12-32.779.6MOff
19 Jun 20260.33 AUD0.0%0.45 AUD0.44 AUD-1.26-29.486.0MOff
12 Jun 20260.33 AUD-3.0%0.45 AUD0.44 AUD-1.21-29.834.0MOff
5 Jun 20260.34 AUD-5.6%0.46 AUD0.44 AUD-1.14-27.0018.9MOff
29 May 20260.35 AUD-1.4%0.46 AUD0.44 AUD-1.12-24.326.6MOff
22 May 20260.36 AUD0.0%0.46 AUD0.44 AUD-1.09-23.4021.5MOff
15 May 20260.36 AUD-4.0%0.47 AUD0.44 AUD-1.06-24.1823.9MOff
8 May 20260.38 AUD-1.3%0.47 AUD0.44 AUD-1.01-23.1522.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context