- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.13% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
0004
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Latest close
21.58 HKD
9.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.8%, after a 14.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
21.58 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
9.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-25.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
9.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.8%.
Indicator stack
34/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.13%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.8%, after a 14.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.36
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.8% over four weeks, -25.5% over 12 weeks, and -0.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.81Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change65.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-17.0%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+9.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Real Estate
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth15.0%
Trend15.0%active weekly trend signals
MD21.0%positive activity pressure
RS26.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Real Estate - Development
4-week rank12 / 100
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth18.0%
Trend18.0%active weekly trend signals
MD18.0%positive activity pressure
RS21.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.13%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.13% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited (0004.HK) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 21.58 HKD | 9.8% | 22.86 HKD | 21.59 HKD | -0.81 | -4.24 | 13.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 19.65 HKD | 2.8% | 22.90 HKD | 21.56 HKD | -0.95 | -13.59 | 5.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 19.12 HKD | 1.6% | 22.98 HKD | 21.54 HKD | -0.99 | -13.03 | 6.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 18.81 HKD | 0.1% | 23.09 HKD | 21.53 HKD | -1.10 | -13.26 | 5.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.80 HKD | -1.9% | 23.22 HKD | 21.52 HKD | -1.18 | -12.23 | 5.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.17 HKD | 5.7% | 23.36 HKD | 21.51 HKD | -1.24 | -7.68 | 1.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 18.13 HKD | -3.2% | 23.49 HKD | 21.50 HKD | -1.23 | -10.44 | 970.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18.72 HKD | -3.4% | 23.67 HKD | 21.50 HKD | -0.93 | -12.65 | 8.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 19.38 HKD | -7.2% | 23.80 HKD | 21.49 HKD | -0.54 | -12.81 | 1.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 20.88 HKD | -5.9% | 23.96 HKD | 21.47 HKD | 0.05 | -7.30 | 2.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.18 HKD | -7.7% | 23.99 HKD | 21.44 HKD | 0.63 | -2.59 | 115.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 24.04 HKD | -17.0% | 23.92 HKD | 21.40 HKD | 0.61 | 3.84 | 27.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 28.96 HKD | -4.4% | 23.81 HKD | 21.35 HKD | 0.46 | 23.65 | 13.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 30.28 HKD | 17.1% | 23.53 HKD | 21.27 HKD | 0.03 | 27.87 | 13.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.