- The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FOSECOIND
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Foseco India Limited · Basic Materials · Chemicals
Latest close
5,500 INR
7.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.6%, after a 5.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
5,500 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.84% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.2%.
Indicator stack
49/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.84%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
48/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.6%, after a 5.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5112-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.2% over four weeks, 9.0% over 12 weeks, and 13.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change95.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 47.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 29.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 47.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 17.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 12.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 22.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -16.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 231.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
3 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+7.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Chemicals
4-week rank16 / 40
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth77.5%
Trend77.5%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS62.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.84%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.84% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 32; Small Cap Core rank 82 SVQF39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 959.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Buzzing Stocks: Coal India, Godfrey Phillips, BEL, Tata Chemicals fall 3-5% after Q1 earnings Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5,500 INR | 7.6% | 4,929 INR | 4,361 INR | 1.02 | 6.82 | 35.4K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,110 INR | 1.2% | 4,905 INR | 4,347 INR | 0.93 | 0.25 | 10.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,048 INR | -0.2% | 4,899 INR | 4,335 INR | 1.06 | 1.51 | 6.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,058 INR | -3.3% | 4,897 INR | 4,325 INR | 1.11 | -0.51 | 4.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,230 INR | 0.4% | 4,895 INR | 4,310 INR | 1.22 | 3.49 | 9.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,210 INR | 0.3% | 4,893 INR | 4,293 INR | 0.97 | 3.03 | 4.3K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,191 INR | -1.3% | 4,897 INR | 4,276 INR | 0.61 | 3.76 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5,258 INR | 6.6% | 4,897 INR | 4,259 INR | 0.49 | 5.61 | 2.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,934 INR | 2.2% | 4,895 INR | 4,242 INR | 0.31 | 1.06 | 13.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,826 INR | -2.6% | 4,912 INR | 4,228 INR | 0.46 | 0.11 | 1.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,956 INR | -1.8% | 4,934 INR | 4,214 INR | 0.64 | 2.29 | 7.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5,047 INR | 0.1% | 4,960 INR | 4,200 INR | 0.54 | 3.66 | 28.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5,044 INR | 0.4% | 4,980 INR | 4,185 INR | 0.42 | 4.20 | 198.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,026 INR | 7.0% | 5,003 INR | 4,170 INR | 0.19 | 1.82 | 12.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.