- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
RAJESHEXPO
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Rajesh Exports Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Latest close
83.58 INR
-1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -28.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -10.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
15
out of 100
Latest Close
83.58 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-23.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.8%.
Indicator stack
0/19
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.85%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -28.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -10.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.14
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.8% over four weeks, -23.9% over 12 weeks, and -52.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-288.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-41.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-12.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum49/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 0.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 0.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 0.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 0.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 84.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 18.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -95.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
0 positive · 29 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-22.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses12
Recent vol11.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average6.0%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Luxury Goods
4-week rank27 / 28
Group average6.1%
Trend breadth60.7%
Trend60.7%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape15/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 15/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.85%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.85% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 55 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.
Rajesh Exports Under NFRA Probe, Can't Share Timelines: Gupta Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 83.58 INR | -1.6% | 116.2 INR | 242.2 INR | -0.44 | -41.77 | 728.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 84.91 INR | -4.5% | 119.1 INR | 245.0 INR | -0.21 | -41.14 | 452.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 88.93 INR | 3.4% | 122.3 INR | 247.7 INR | 0.00 | -37.54 | 1.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 85.97 INR | -8.2% | 126.4 INR | 250.4 INR | 0.08 | -41.80 | 599.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 93.67 INR | -1.4% | 130.4 INR | 253.2 INR | 0.23 | -37.17 | 2.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 95.02 INR | -2.1% | 133.6 INR | 255.9 INR | 0.08 | -37.25 | 594.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 97.02 INR | -0.5% | 136.6 INR | 258.7 INR | 0.01 | -36.15 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 97.51 INR | 27.6% | 139.6 INR | 261.6 INR | 0.02 | -36.43 | 208.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 76.41 INR | -22.6% | 142.6 INR | 264.5 INR | -0.08 | -49.85 | 1.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 98.73 INR | -16.6% | 146.3 INR | 267.9 INR | -0.13 | -35.38 | 145.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 118.3 INR | 10.1% | 149.0 INR | 271.0 INR | -0.15 | -23.98 | 649.7K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 107.4 INR | -2.1% | 151.1 INR | 273.9 INR | -0.28 | -32.09 | 424.1K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 109.8 INR | -10.0% | 153.5 INR | 276.9 INR | -0.28 | -31.10 | 708.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 122.0 INR | 2.3% | 155.8 INR | 279.9 INR | -0.30 | -25.85 | 502.8K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.