- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.01% based on similar historical setup states.
WMT
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
96.62 EUR
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -2.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
96.62 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%.
Indicator stack
41/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.01%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -2.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3012-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.9% over four weeks, -14.8% over 12 weeks, and 9.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-20.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
0 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Defensive
4-week rank46 / 58
Group average1.7%
Trend breadth51.7%
Trend51.7%active weekly trend signals
MD62.1%positive activity pressure
RS5.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Discount Stores
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.01%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.01% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
KeyBanc reiterates Walmart stock rating on growth momentum Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 96.62 EUR | -0.4% | 104.3 EUR | 77.54 EUR | -1.14 | -19.65 | 200 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 96.98 EUR | 1.3% | 104.4 EUR | 77.23 EUR | -1.04 | -17.29 | 412 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 95.78 EUR | -5.7% | 104.3 EUR | 76.90 EUR | -1.06 | -18.63 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 101.6 EUR | 2.1% | 104.3 EUR | 76.59 EUR | -1.01 | -12.72 | 200 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 99.54 EUR | 2.0% | 104.1 EUR | 76.23 EUR | -1.09 | -16.27 | 1.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 97.58 EUR | -5.1% | 104.1 EUR | 75.87 EUR | -1.21 | -19.15 | 85 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 102.8 EUR | 0.5% | 104.1 EUR | 75.54 EUR | -1.23 | -13.02 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 102.3 EUR | -1.1% | 103.8 EUR | 75.18 EUR | -1.26 | -15.31 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 103.4 EUR | -0.6% | 103.4 EUR | 74.82 EUR | -1.18 | -11.02 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 104.1 EUR | 5.9% | 102.9 EUR | 74.45 EUR | -0.87 | -8.08 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 98.26 EUR | -5.3% | 102.3 EUR | 74.07 EUR | -0.59 | -14.31 | 93 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 103.7 EUR | -8.5% | 102.0 EUR | 73.73 EUR | -0.31 | -7.35 | 279 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 113.4 EUR | 1.9% | 101.5 EUR | 73.35 EUR | -0.10 | 3.23 | 196 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 111.3 EUR | -0.1% | 100.8 EUR | 72.90 EUR | -0.23 | 0.89 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.