5425 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Taiwan Semiconductor Co., Ltd. · Technology · Semiconductors

Latest close 85.50 TWD
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a -5.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 85.50 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -5.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 42.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a -5.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7612-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.3% over four weeks, 0.6% over 12 weeks, and 85.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W-5.3%
12W0.6%
26W44.3%
52W85.0%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-158.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-161.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.8%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-29.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains1
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol16.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.9% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202685.50 TWD3.6%77.41 TWD63.39 TWD-0.63-4.6841.7MOn
7 Aug 202682.50 TWD12.9%76.33 TWD63.34 TWD-0.42-4.7843.8MOn
31 Jul 202673.10 TWD-11.9%75.26 TWD63.34 TWD0.07-13.5335.8MOn
24 Jul 202682.98 TWD-8.1%74.52 TWD63.41 TWD0.56-3.3346.3MOn
17 Jul 202690.30 TWD-29.1%73.45 TWD63.43 TWD1.087.5878.2MOn
10 Jul 2026127.4 TWD-0.4%72.23 TWD63.39 TWD1.4543.1043.9MOn
3 Jul 2026127.9 TWD14.4%69.85 TWD63.11 TWD1.4840.5033.9MOn
26 Jun 2026111.8 TWD-3.4%67.50 TWD62.84 TWD1.6129.84212.8MOn
19 Jun 2026115.7 TWD17.3%65.64 TWD62.67 TWD1.6629.61115.9MOn
12 Jun 202698.60 TWD0.0%63.59 TWD62.50 TWD1.7416.7996.3MOn
5 Jun 202698.60 TWD-13.3%62.01 TWD62.39 TWD1.7614.69157.5MOn
29 May 2026113.7 TWD33.8%60.51 TWD62.26 TWD1.6433.48268.8MOn
22 May 202685.03 TWD21.0%58.77 TWD62.04 TWD1.116.13200.9MOn
15 May 202670.29 TWD-1.4%57.73 TWD62.01 TWD0.51-9.94143.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context