- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
PEN
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Peninsula Energy Limited · Energy · Uranium
Latest close
0.28 AUD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -48.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -25.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
18
out of 100
Latest Close
0.28 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-25.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-28.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -25.7%.
Indicator stack
12/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.99%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -48.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -25.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -25.7% over four weeks, -28.9% over 12 weeks, and -55.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change47.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-50.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-50.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 52%
Model confidence 26%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality34/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth36/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -61.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -9.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
9 positive · 35 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-74.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-32.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains0
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol14.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.3% / -11.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Energy
4-week rank89 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth15.0%
Trend15.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Uranium
4-week rank20 / 21
Group average-4.3%
Trend breadth4.8%
Trend4.8%active weekly trend signals
MD19.0%positive activity pressure
RS9.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.99%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.99% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 64 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
European earnings growth estimate rises to 20.8% as energy profits surge Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.28 AUD | 0.0% | 0.53 AUD | 1.27 AUD | -0.40 | -50.86 | 7.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.28 AUD | 12.2% | 0.54 AUD | 1.29 AUD | -0.41 | -49.93 | 19.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.24 AUD | -32.9% | 0.56 AUD | 1.30 AUD | -0.56 | -54.94 | 21.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.36 AUD | -1.4% | 0.57 AUD | 1.31 AUD | -0.75 | -33.94 | 5.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.37 AUD | -5.1% | 0.58 AUD | 1.32 AUD | -0.76 | -33.70 | 9.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.39 AUD | 8.3% | 0.59 AUD | 1.34 AUD | -0.97 | -31.06 | 1.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.36 AUD | -26.5% | 0.59 AUD | 1.36 AUD | -1.08 | -36.31 | 2.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.49 AUD | 22.5% | 0.60 AUD | 1.38 AUD | -1.13 | -14.76 | 3.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.40 AUD | 8.1% | 0.60 AUD | 1.39 AUD | -1.34 | -30.57 | 2.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.37 AUD | -8.6% | 0.60 AUD | 1.42 AUD | -1.34 | -34.97 | 11.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.41 AUD | 6.6% | 0.60 AUD | 1.44 AUD | -1.34 | -30.29 | 1.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.38 AUD | -1.7% | 0.61 AUD | 1.46 AUD | -1.30 | -34.54 | 9.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.39 AUD | -7.1% | 0.61 AUD | 1.47 AUD | -1.23 | -33.77 | 5.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.42 AUD | -0.9% | 0.62 AUD | 1.49 AUD | -1.10 | -30.19 | 11.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.