- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NICO
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nicoccino Holding AB (publ) · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Latest close
1.03 SEK
-6.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
1.03 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-6.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-16.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-6.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%.
Indicator stack
39/60
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5412-week average 0.60
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -16.3% over 12 weeks, and -31.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change113.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility23.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+66.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-28.6%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-6.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol23.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew15.7% / -11.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Consumer Defensive
4-week rank7 / 31
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth48.4%
Trend48.4%active weekly trend signals
MD51.6%positive activity pressure
RS19.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Tobacco
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average2.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.54; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.03 SEK | -6.4% | 1.05 SEK | 1.63 SEK | 0.03 | -10.24 | 6.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.10 SEK | -6.0% | 1.04 SEK | 1.64 SEK | 0.08 | -3.62 | 148.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.17 SEK | -2.5% | 1.04 SEK | 1.65 SEK | 0.16 | 3.31 | 14.7K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.20 SEK | 20.0% | 1.02 SEK | 1.66 SEK | -0.15 | 6.71 | 121 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.00 SEK | -28.6% | 1.01 SEK | 1.67 SEK | -0.23 | -12.03 | 10.1K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.40 SEK | 66.7% | 1.00 SEK | 1.68 SEK | -0.36 | 18.78 | 1.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.84 SEK | -16.0% | 0.98 SEK | 1.69 SEK | -0.66 | -26.91 | 600 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.00 SEK | 15.6% | 0.97 SEK | 1.70 SEK | -0.18 | -14.65 | 10.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.86 SEK | 1.8% | 0.96 SEK | 1.71 SEK | 0.05 | -25.73 | 2.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.85 SEK | -28.6% | 0.96 SEK | 1.72 SEK | 0.42 | -28.11 | 96 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.19 SEK | -0.8% | 0.96 SEK | 1.73 SEK | 0.60 | -1.36 | 26.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.20 SEK | -2.4% | 0.95 SEK | 1.74 SEK | 0.54 | -1.36 | 14.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.23 SEK | 18.3% | 0.94 SEK | 1.74 SEK | 0.58 | 3.81 | 14.6K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.04 SEK | -12.6% | 0.93 SEK | 1.74 SEK | 0.69 | -13.62 | 21.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.