- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
PTBA
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk · Energy · Thermal Coal
Latest close
2,370 IDR
2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
2,370 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-12.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.59% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%.
Indicator stack
19/33
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.59%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.40
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, -12.3% over 12 weeks, and -1.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.29Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-54.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
1 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Energy
4-week rank51 / 56
Group average12.9%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD39.3%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Thermal Coal
4-week rank31 / 33
Group average14.6%
Trend breadth12.1%
Trend12.1%active weekly trend signals
MD36.4%positive activity pressure
RS57.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.59%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.59% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk Revenue Breakdown – IDX:PTBA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,370 IDR | 2.2% | 2,618 IDR | 2,352 IDR | -1.04 | 9.29 | 56.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2,320 IDR | -2.9% | 2,619 IDR | 2,351 IDR | -1.16 | 10.28 | 67.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,390 IDR | -0.8% | 2,619 IDR | 2,350 IDR | -1.24 | 14.67 | 66.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,410 IDR | 1.3% | 2,615 IDR | 2,348 IDR | -1.32 | 16.43 | 45.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2,380 IDR | 3.0% | 2,611 IDR | 2,346 IDR | -1.36 | 20.24 | 36.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2,310 IDR | -2.1% | 2,607 IDR | 2,344 IDR | -1.34 | 18.00 | 8.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,360 IDR | -2.4% | 2,606 IDR | 2,342 IDR | -1.27 | 20.41 | 16.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,417 IDR | -3.4% | 2,605 IDR | 2,340 IDR | -1.12 | 18.08 | 26.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,503 IDR | 1.2% | 2,601 IDR | 2,336 IDR | -0.97 | 25.82 | 46.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,475 IDR | -6.8% | 2,596 IDR | 2,331 IDR | -0.82 | 33.94 | 16.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,656 IDR | 2.2% | 2,593 IDR | 2,325 IDR | -0.63 | 31.92 | 70.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,599 IDR | -3.9% | 2,585 IDR | 2,319 IDR | -0.51 | 28.92 | 143.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,704 IDR | -1.0% | 2,576 IDR | 2,314 IDR | -0.31 | 23.46 | 33.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,733 IDR | -0.3% | 2,560 IDR | 2,308 IDR | 0.03 | 20.69 | 68.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.