- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FSG
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Foresight Group Holdings Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
503.0 GBP
8.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 10.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
71
out of 100
Latest Close
503.0 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
23.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.60% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.8%.
Indicator stack
46/84
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.60%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 10.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.40
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.8% over four weeks, 23.7% over 12 weeks, and 11.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.59Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change68.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change455.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength32/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 93.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 34.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 24.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 50.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 29.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -2.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
2 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+8.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Financial Services
4-week rank8 / 100
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Asset Management
4-week rank6 / 100
Group average1.2%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape66/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.60%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.60% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 72 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Wise Stock, Croda And Foresight Among High Quality Undervalued Shares Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 503.0 GBP | 8.4% | 421.8 GBP | 433.5 GBP | 1.59 | 5.99 | 2.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 464.0 GBP | -2.4% | 419.2 GBP | 433.3 GBP | 1.52 | -2.10 | 1.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 475.5 GBP | -0.5% | 418.0 GBP | 433.4 GBP | 1.41 | 1.21 | 1.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 478.0 GBP | 5.3% | 416.0 GBP | 433.5 GBP | 1.19 | 2.77 | 2.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 454.0 GBP | -1.3% | 413.8 GBP | 433.2 GBP | 0.94 | -1.68 | 1.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 460.0 GBP | 12.2% | 412.3 GBP | 433.0 GBP | 0.76 | -2.41 | 504.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 410.0 GBP | -3.3% | 412.8 GBP | 432.8 GBP | 0.63 | -11.80 | 226.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 424.0 GBP | -1.9% | 414.1 GBP | 433.0 GBP | 0.73 | -7.79 | 325.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 432.0 GBP | 1.2% | 415.8 GBP | 433.3 GBP | 0.74 | -7.18 | 187.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 427.0 GBP | -2.5% | 417.1 GBP | 433.5 GBP | 0.67 | -7.51 | 231.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 438.0 GBP | 4.8% | 418.0 GBP | 433.4 GBP | 0.65 | -5.59 | 938.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 418.0 GBP | 2.8% | 419.0 GBP | 433.2 GBP | 0.35 | -10.42 | 1.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 406.5 GBP | -1.1% | 420.2 GBP | 433.2 GBP | 0.00 | -10.80 | 997.2K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 411.0 GBP | 1.9% | 422.0 GBP | 433.2 GBP | -0.13 | -10.38 | 2.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.