TNPL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Latest close 156.6 INR
3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 9.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 156.6 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.7% latest completed week
4W Return 9.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 9.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4112-week average 0.33

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.0% over four weeks, 5.4% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.7%
4W9.0%
12W5.4%
26W11.2%
52W3.0%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change0.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1704.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality39/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Momentum64/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
4.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
46.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
4.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-49.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

0 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.9%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+3.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026156.6 INR3.7%142.1 INR192.3 INR0.468.13687.3KOn
31 Jul 2026151.0 INR0.8%141.5 INR192.7 INR0.395.101.3MOn
24 Jul 2026149.8 INR3.1%141.4 INR193.0 INR0.436.923.8MOn
17 Jul 2026145.2 INR1.1%141.2 INR193.3 INR0.361.22258.4KOn
10 Jul 2026143.7 INR-2.4%141.1 INR193.6 INR0.460.45420.5KOn
3 Jul 2026147.3 INR1.6%141.1 INR193.9 INR0.482.4674.8KOn
26 Jun 2026145.0 INR-0.3%140.9 INR194.3 INR0.451.420On
19 Jun 2026145.4 INR1.0%140.9 INR194.7 INR0.541.7719.1KOn
12 Jun 2026143.9 INR-0.2%140.9 INR195.0 INR0.702.4079.2KOn
5 Jun 2026144.3 INR-2.8%141.0 INR195.4 INR0.873.6846.6KOn
29 May 2026148.5 INR-0.8%141.2 INR195.7 INR1.105.81261.4KOff
22 May 2026149.7 INR0.7%141.4 INR196.1 INR1.285.83666.7KOff
15 May 2026148.6 INR-5.0%141.5 INR196.6 INR1.295.30584.0KOff
8 May 2026156.4 INR3.9%141.7 INR197.2 INR1.248.351.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context