- The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SFR
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Sandfire Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Copper
Latest close
21.10 AUD
11.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.3%, after a 12.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
72
out of 100
Latest Close
21.10 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
11.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
11.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
88.5%
46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- 11 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.1%.
Indicator stack
94/53
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.3%, after a 12.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6312-week average 0.64
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1111 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 11 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.1% over four weeks, 11.5% over 12 weeks, and 83.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-22.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change23.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 40%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework10/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 105.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 8.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 18.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 101.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 20.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 28.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 28.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 174.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
5 positive · 24 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+11.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank36 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Copper
4-week rank6 / 21
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD38.1%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape71/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.63; 11 reversal markers Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 61 SVQF10/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 232.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR) Q2 2024 Earnings Report - Results, Call & Slides Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 21.10 AUD | 11.3% | 18.47 AUD | 11.66 AUD | 0.25 | 17.38 | 10.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 18.95 AUD | 2.3% | 18.39 AUD | 11.57 AUD | 0.06 | 9.85 | 5.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 18.52 AUD | 5.0% | 18.35 AUD | 11.49 AUD | 0.09 | 10.79 | 9.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 17.64 AUD | -6.3% | 18.33 AUD | 11.41 AUD | 0.11 | 6.12 | 6.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.83 AUD | -2.6% | 18.31 AUD | 11.34 AUD | 0.33 | 14.04 | 6.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.34 AUD | 2.4% | 18.25 AUD | 11.26 AUD | 0.37 | 17.65 | 1.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 18.89 AUD | -8.8% | 18.17 AUD | 11.17 AUD | 0.36 | 17.02 | 2.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 20.72 AUD | 4.5% | 18.06 AUD | 11.09 AUD | 0.32 | 28.52 | 2.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 19.83 AUD | 2.9% | 17.87 AUD | 10.99 AUD | 0.12 | 24.68 | 2.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 19.28 AUD | -1.8% | 17.75 AUD | 10.91 AUD | -0.01 | 24.97 | 6.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.63 AUD | 5.3% | 17.63 AUD | 10.82 AUD | -0.23 | 26.86 | 2.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 18.64 AUD | -1.5% | 17.52 AUD | 10.74 AUD | -0.53 | 22.67 | 8.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 18.93 AUD | 5.1% | 17.42 AUD | 10.65 AUD | -0.76 | 26.12 | 9.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 18.01 AUD | 7.3% | 17.31 AUD | 10.57 AUD | -0.95 | 19.63 | 6.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.