MALUPAPER NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Malu Paper Mills Limited · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Latest close 32.68 INR
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 32.68 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 6.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.85% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 30.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1112-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.6% over four weeks, 2.5% over 12 weeks, and -14.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W6.6%
12W2.5%
26W-1.8%
52W-14.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1613.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change55.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 68%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality49/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Momentum52/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Growth50/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
30.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-7.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-6.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-24.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

7 positive · 14 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.4%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-9.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202632.68 INR1.3%32.17 INR39.29 INR0.43-4.6063.5KOff
31 Jul 202632.26 INR-9.6%32.23 INR39.29 INR0.29-5.41278.6KOff
24 Jul 202635.68 INR19.4%32.35 INR39.29 INR0.156.991.2MOff
17 Jul 202629.89 INR-2.5%32.34 INR39.27 INR-0.22-12.6042.0KOff
10 Jul 202630.67 INR-1.4%32.49 INR39.28 INR-0.03-10.3443.2KOff
3 Jul 202631.10 INR0.5%32.68 INR39.29 INR0.07-9.785.1KOff
26 Jun 202630.95 INR-1.2%32.88 INR39.30 INR0.12-9.910Off
19 Jun 202631.33 INR-2.5%33.09 INR39.31 INR0.28-8.9814.9KOff
12 Jun 202632.12 INR-0.4%33.43 INR39.32 INR0.34-5.458.2KOff
5 Jun 202632.24 INR-1.1%33.62 INR39.33 INR0.42-4.365.2KOff
29 May 202632.61 INR1.2%33.80 INR39.34 INR0.63-4.2628.5KOff
22 May 202632.22 INR1.1%33.98 INR39.35 INR0.63-6.3329.1KOff
15 May 202631.88 INR-6.2%34.20 INR39.36 INR0.64-7.3272.4KOff
8 May 202634.00 INR4.6%34.40 INR39.37 INR0.68-3.6768.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context