1840 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Latest close 247.0 JPY
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 3.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 247.0 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 3.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.28

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.3% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and 3.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W3.3%
12W14.4%
26W6.9%
52W3.1%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change554.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-4.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks4
Modest losses5
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026247.0 JPY0.8%234.9 JPY219.4 JPY0.90-13.1947.1KOn
31 Jul 2026245.0 JPY0.4%234.1 JPY219.1 JPY0.82-12.9944.7KOn
24 Jul 2026244.0 JPY2.1%233.3 JPY218.9 JPY0.62-14.4228.3KOn
17 Jul 2026239.0 JPY0.0%232.4 JPY218.8 JPY0.44-16.1767.2KOff
10 Jul 2026239.0 JPY0.0%231.8 JPY218.6 JPY0.14-22.2166.5KOff
3 Jul 2026239.0 JPY2.1%231.3 JPY218.3 JPY-0.14-24.238.6KOff
26 Jun 2026234.0 JPY0.9%230.6 JPY218.1 JPY-0.38-26.1114.2KOff
19 Jun 2026232.0 JPY-2.1%230.3 JPY217.8 JPY-0.56-29.3412.8KOff
12 Jun 2026237.0 JPY1.7%229.7 JPY217.5 JPY-0.68-22.8715.4KOff
5 Jun 2026233.0 JPY1.7%229.3 JPY217.1 JPY-0.91-25.6520.5KOff
29 May 2026229.0 JPY2.2%228.9 JPY216.8 JPY-1.01-27.4449.2KOff
22 May 2026224.0 JPY3.7%229.2 JPY216.5 JPY-1.05-26.4272.1KOff
15 May 2026216.0 JPY-1.8%230.1 JPY216.2 JPY-0.97-27.5541.7KOff
8 May 2026220.0 JPY0.5%231.1 JPY216.1 JPY-0.70-28.3833.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context