- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
ALVIN
PAR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vinpai SAS · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
2.90 EUR
-9.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a -17.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
20
out of 100
Latest Close
2.90 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-9.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-17.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-18.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -17.1%.
Indicator stack
34/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.28%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a -17.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5012-week average 0.50
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -17.1% over four weeks, -18.5% over 12 weeks, and -17.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-343.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-471.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.1%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-9.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-9.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains9
Flat weeks9
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew0.8% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFR Basic Materials
4-week rank31 / 31
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth25.8%
Trend25.8%active weekly trend signals
MD38.7%positive activity pressure
RS35.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFR Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank11 / 11
Group average4.7%
Trend breadth27.3%
Trend27.3%active weekly trend signals
MD36.4%positive activity pressure
RS45.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis31/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.50; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.28%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.28% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.90 EUR | -9.4% | 3.50 EUR | 3.94 EUR | -1.35 | -22.74 | 871 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.20 EUR | 0.0% | 3.53 EUR | 3.96 EUR | -1.13 | -13.16 | 60 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.20 EUR | 0.0% | 3.54 EUR | 3.98 EUR | -0.51 | -12.07 | 465 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.20 EUR | -8.6% | 3.55 EUR | 4.00 EUR | 0.12 | -11.97 | 249 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.50 EUR | -3.3% | 3.56 EUR | 4.02 EUR | 0.55 | -3.98 | 19.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.62 EUR | 0.6% | 3.57 EUR | 4.02 EUR | 0.81 | -2.78 | 73.3K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.60 EUR | 0.6% | 3.56 EUR | 4.02 EUR | 0.54 | -2.00 | 9.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.58 EUR | -0.6% | 3.56 EUR | 4.03 EUR | 0.17 | -3.06 | 102 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.60 EUR | 0.6% | 3.56 EUR | 4.03 EUR | -0.07 | -1.83 | 500 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.58 EUR | 0.6% | 3.56 EUR | 4.03 EUR | -0.29 | -0.89 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.56 EUR | 0.0% | 3.56 EUR | 4.03 EUR | -0.40 | -1.04 | 2.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.56 EUR | 0.0% | 3.55 EUR | 4.04 EUR | -0.62 | -0.29 | 1.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.56 EUR | 0.0% | 3.55 EUR | 4.04 EUR | -0.72 | 1.74 | 5.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.56 EUR | 0.6% | 3.55 EUR | 4.04 EUR | -0.86 | -0.22 | 358 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.