- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.51% based on similar historical setup states.
AAF
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Airtel Africa Plc · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
329.4 GBP
-1.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
329.4 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%.
Indicator stack
48/28
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.51%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 53.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 0.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4712-week average 0.61
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 0.3% over 12 weeks, and 59.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change5.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-229.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 72.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 33.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 36.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 29.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 210.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 64.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 9/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
9 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Communication Services
4-week rank29 / 60
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth43.3%
Trend43.3%active weekly trend signals
MD63.3%positive activity pressure
RS31.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Telecom Services
4-week rank6 / 8
Group average2.2%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis35/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.47; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.51%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.51% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors96/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 35 SVQF85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 39.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.
Are Airtel Africa (LSE:AAF) And WPP (LSE:WPP) Shaping Today's Communication Stocks Debate? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 329.4 GBP | -1.1% | 346.0 GBP | 190.2 GBP | -1.24 | -2.95 | 15.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 333.0 GBP | -0.4% | 347.2 GBP | 188.8 GBP | -1.24 | -1.13 | 18.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 334.2 GBP | -3.4% | 348.2 GBP | 187.4 GBP | -1.25 | 0.94 | 21.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 346.0 GBP | 5.9% | 348.2 GBP | 186.1 GBP | -1.33 | 6.49 | 14.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 326.6 GBP | -4.9% | 347.6 GBP | 184.5 GBP | -1.32 | 2.27 | 19.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 343.4 GBP | 2.8% | 346.9 GBP | 183.1 GBP | -1.19 | 6.40 | 1.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 334.2 GBP | -4.6% | 345.8 GBP | 181.6 GBP | -1.23 | 6.04 | 3.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 350.4 GBP | -4.7% | 345.0 GBP | 180.1 GBP | -1.13 | 13.58 | 15.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 367.8 GBP | 9.2% | 343.5 GBP | 178.6 GBP | -1.17 | 19.10 | 2.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 336.7 GBP | -4.5% | 341.4 GBP | 177.0 GBP | -1.26 | 11.21 | 5.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 352.6 GBP | 6.0% | 340.1 GBP | 175.7 GBP | -0.86 | 16.95 | 27.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 332.6 GBP | 1.3% | 337.5 GBP | 174.2 GBP | -0.83 | 10.73 | 25.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 328.4 GBP | -10.5% | 334.0 GBP | 172.9 GBP | -0.70 | 13.08 | 49.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 367.0 GBP | 3.9% | 330.6 GBP | 171.5 GBP | -0.60 | 26.92 | 41.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.