- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
BALKRISHNA
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Balkrishna Paper Mills Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
17.66 INR
3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -3.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
17.66 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.43% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.8%.
Indicator stack
44/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
59/100
29 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -3.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.33
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.8% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and -10.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-116.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-152.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 65%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value58/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Quality57/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Momentum59/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Growth57/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 12.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -19.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -90.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 103.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -209.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
11 positive · 14 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average6.0%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Packaging & Containers
4-week rank21 / 32
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth68.8%
Trend68.8%active weekly trend signals
MD68.8%positive activity pressure
RS65.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.43%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 9 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
Balkrishna Industries Shares Rise 2.95% to Rs 2,375.00 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 17.66 INR | 3.0% | 17.25 INR | 21.80 INR | -0.11 | -6.50 | 54.9K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 17.15 INR | -2.2% | 17.25 INR | 21.81 INR | 0.11 | -8.72 | 128.7K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 17.54 INR | -0.8% | 17.30 INR | 21.81 INR | 0.35 | -4.54 | 53.3K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 17.69 INR | -3.6% | 17.34 INR | 21.81 INR | 0.53 | -6.24 | 27.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.35 INR | -1.3% | 17.39 INR | 21.82 INR | 0.67 | -2.57 | 29.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 18.59 INR | 0.8% | 17.45 INR | 21.82 INR | 0.63 | -1.85 | 29.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 18.45 INR | 1.8% | 17.52 INR | 21.82 INR | 0.58 | -1.89 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18.12 INR | 0.9% | 17.62 INR | 21.83 INR | 0.61 | -3.62 | 3.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 17.95 INR | -1.7% | 17.75 INR | 21.83 INR | 0.66 | -3.09 | 1.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 18.26 INR | -0.4% | 17.89 INR | 21.84 INR | 0.71 | -0.63 | 6.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 18.33 INR | -2.0% | 18.03 INR | 21.84 INR | 0.78 | -1.19 | 112.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 18.70 INR | 1.6% | 18.20 INR | 21.84 INR | 0.79 | -0.06 | 51.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 18.40 INR | -3.1% | 18.35 INR | 21.83 INR | 0.79 | -1.42 | 37.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 18.99 INR | 5.4% | 18.50 INR | 21.83 INR | 0.75 | -0.41 | 69.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.