- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
KAR
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Karoon Energy Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
1.66 AUD
-4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 17.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
1.66 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
17.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-20.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 17.0%.
Indicator stack
21/48
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 17.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3912-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 17.0% over four weeks, -20.8% over 12 weeks, and -11.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.64Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change56.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 68%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 42.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 27.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -5.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -19.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 4.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -117.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
9 positive · 28 neutral · 9 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-29.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol11.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Energy
4-week rank11 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth15.0%
Trend15.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank10 / 70
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD25.7%positive activity pressure
RS18.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis39/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.39; No reversal markers Factors69/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 7 SVQF78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 58.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
Update: Kosmos Energy Swings to Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Rises Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.66 AUD | -4.9% | 1.79 AUD | 1.69 AUD | -0.41 | -7.64 | 29.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.74 AUD | -2.8% | 1.79 AUD | 1.70 AUD | -0.51 | -0.13 | 42.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.79 AUD | 19.3% | 1.78 AUD | 1.70 AUD | -0.79 | 4.98 | 41.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.50 AUD | 6.0% | 1.77 AUD | 1.70 AUD | -1.08 | -12.34 | 35.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.42 AUD | 1.4% | 1.77 AUD | 1.70 AUD | -1.20 | -17.75 | 36.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.40 AUD | 10.7% | 1.77 AUD | 1.71 AUD | -1.13 | -19.64 | 4.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.26 AUD | -12.5% | 1.78 AUD | 1.71 AUD | -0.87 | -27.14 | 7.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.44 AUD | -29.1% | 1.79 AUD | 1.71 AUD | -0.62 | -17.93 | 17.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.03 AUD | 4.4% | 1.79 AUD | 1.71 AUD | -0.17 | 15.21 | 3.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.95 AUD | -0.5% | 1.78 AUD | 1.71 AUD | 0.10 | 12.74 | 17.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.96 AUD | -7.3% | 1.76 AUD | 1.71 AUD | 0.23 | 12.23 | 5.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.11 AUD | 1.0% | 1.75 AUD | 1.71 AUD | 0.64 | 22.56 | 24.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.09 AUD | 6.6% | 1.73 AUD | 1.71 AUD | 0.85 | 22.42 | 16.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.96 AUD | -9.7% | 1.71 AUD | 1.71 AUD | 1.13 | 13.92 | 21.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.