- The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
TOM
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Toyota Motor Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
16.54 EUR
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 799.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 6.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
16.54 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.55% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.9%.
Indicator stack
70/9
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.55%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 799.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 6.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7612-week average 0.81
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.9% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and -65.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-435.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-431.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change71.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-67.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+156.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol31.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -9.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank32 / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank9 / 18
Group average6.3%
Trend breadth44.4%
Trend44.4%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.76; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.55%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.55% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Toyota Motor Fiscal Q1 Earnings, Revenue Rise; Unveils $6.38 Billion Share Buyback Authorization Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 16.54 EUR | 0.3% | -2.37 EUR | -5.68 EUR | -0.36 | -431.41 | 25 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 16.48 EUR | 4.7% | -4.04 EUR | -5.26 EUR | -0.36 | -522.60 | 200 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 15.74 EUR | 1.0% | -5.67 EUR | -4.83 EUR | -0.31 | -633.54 | 45 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 15.58 EUR | 0.7% | -7.29 EUR | -4.41 EUR | -0.10 | -899.23 | 429 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.47 EUR | 1.0% | -8.92 EUR | -4.00 EUR | 0.11 | -1507.87 | 400 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 15.31 EUR | 1.8% | -10.48 EUR | -3.61 EUR | 0.38 | -7486.41 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.04 EUR | -0.3% | -11.98 EUR | -3.19 EUR | 0.60 | 1973.01 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.09 EUR | -0.2% | -13.52 EUR | -2.78 EUR | 0.83 | 784.83 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.12 EUR | -1.9% | -15.03 EUR | -2.39 EUR | 1.03 | 484.36 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 15.42 EUR | -5.6% | -16.58 EUR | -1.96 EUR | 1.21 | 346.25 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 16.33 EUR | 0.7% | -18.13 EUR | -1.58 EUR | 1.42 | 266.01 | 127 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 16.22 EUR | -3.0% | -19.72 EUR | -1.22 EUR | 1.51 | 205.06 | 65 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 16.71 EUR | 3.7% | -21.30 EUR | -0.87 EUR | 1.56 | 172.94 | 100 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 16.12 EUR | -1.2% | -22.85 EUR | -0.52 EUR | 1.66 | 128.69 | 779 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.