- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
TBR
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tribune Resources Limited · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
5.00 AUD
4.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
5.00 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.7%.
Indicator stack
29/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.7% over four weeks, -7.4% over 12 weeks, and 9.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-20.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 42%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value98/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum87/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 7.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 67.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 39.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 10.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 48.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 666.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 9.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
2 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Gold
4-week rank58 / 100
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth6.0%
Trend6.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors93/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 7 SVQF94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 17.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Why Are IPD Group (ASX:IPG), Sovereign Metals (ASX:SVM) and Tribune Resources (ASX:TBR) Drawing Attention? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.00 AUD | 4.2% | 5.66 AUD | 4.44 AUD | -0.53 | -17.77 | 144.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.80 AUD | -0.8% | 5.70 AUD | 4.43 AUD | -0.75 | -18.49 | 44.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.84 AUD | -0.2% | 5.73 AUD | 4.42 AUD | -0.67 | -15.82 | 45.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.85 AUD | -1.3% | 5.77 AUD | 4.40 AUD | -0.74 | -15.82 | 18.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.92 AUD | -7.3% | 5.81 AUD | 4.39 AUD | -0.73 | -14.72 | 5.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.30 AUD | 5.2% | 5.84 AUD | 4.38 AUD | -0.76 | -8.37 | 37.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.04 AUD | -4.9% | 5.87 AUD | 4.36 AUD | -0.72 | -11.91 | 5.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.30 AUD | 1.3% | 5.90 AUD | 4.35 AUD | -0.84 | -7.95 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.23 AUD | -10.8% | 5.93 AUD | 4.33 AUD | -0.89 | -8.83 | 17.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.86 AUD | 10.2% | 5.95 AUD | 4.32 AUD | -0.83 | 4.35 | 44.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.32 AUD | 0.2% | 5.96 AUD | 4.30 AUD | -0.98 | -6.14 | 16 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.31 AUD | -1.7% | 6.00 AUD | 4.28 AUD | -0.96 | -5.35 | 130.1K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.40 AUD | -7.2% | 6.03 AUD | 4.27 AUD | -1.08 | -3.27 | 129.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.82 AUD | 10.4% | 6.09 AUD | 4.25 AUD | -1.21 | 3.05 | 93.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.