ASX Equity Snapshot

HCH Weekly Equity Report

Hot Chili Limited

Latest Close 1.91 AUD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.7% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 42.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Hot Chili Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mineral exploration company in Chile. The company explores for copper, gold, silver, and molybdenum deposits. Its flagship property is the Costa Fuego copper-gold project, which consists of the Productora, Cortadera, and San Antonio properties located south of the regional township of Vallenar in the Atacama region of Chile. Hot Chili Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Applecross, Australia.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

HCH closed the latest completed week at 1.91 AUD. The 4-week return is 8.2% and the 12-week return is 42.7%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.59. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 77/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 23.7%
Volume 1.0x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 89 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 100 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 94 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 43 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 37 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1.54 AUD
Vs Trend Line
23.7%
Fair Value
1.03 AUD
Vs Fair Value
84.5%
52W High
2.12 AUD
52W Low
0.54 AUD
Drawdown
-10.1%
Range Position
86.4%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.7%
4W 8.2%
12W 42.7%
26W 51.2%
52W 252.8%

Trend read

Active Streak
42 weeks
52W Active Weeks
42
52W Active Breadth
80.8%
Sector Scope
AU Basic Materials
Sector Rank
379 of 722
Sector Percentile
47.6%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.59
4W MD Change
420.8%
Relative Strength
55.31
4W RS Change
-7.7%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
51.55%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
2.8M
13W Average
2.8M
52W Average
2.5M
Vs 13W
1.0x
Vs 52W
1.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
10.0%
52W Volatility
9.9%
Upside Weeks
30
Downside Weeks
21
Downside Breadth
40.4%
Avg Gain / Loss
9.6% / -6.5%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
ASX
Country
AU
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Copper
Currency
AUD
Market Cap
392.2M

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 42-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1.91 AUD -4.7% 1.54 AUD 1.03 AUD 0.59 55.31 2.8M On
5 Jun 2026 2.00 AUD 3.1% 1.50 AUD 1.03 AUD 0.50 70.03 5.2M On
29 May 2026 1.94 AUD 11.8% 1.47 AUD 1.02 AUD 0.11 66.80 2.8M On
22 May 2026 1.74 AUD -1.4% 1.43 AUD 1.02 AUD -0.06 53.95 1.7M On
15 May 2026 1.76 AUD -1.1% 1.41 AUD 1.01 AUD -0.18 59.92 3.5M On
8 May 2026 1.78 AUD -5.6% 1.38 AUD 1.01 AUD -0.46 63.18 2.1M On
1 May 2026 1.89 AUD 27.8% 1.35 AUD 1.00 AUD -0.57 77.09 3.4M On
24 Apr 2026 1.48 AUD -6.1% 1.33 AUD 1.00 AUD -0.88 41.20 3.1M On
17 Apr 2026 1.57 AUD 5.7% 1.31 AUD 0.99 AUD -0.94 50.22 1.9M On
10 Apr 2026 1.49 AUD 15.6% 1.29 AUD 0.99 AUD -0.99 44.65 2.6M On
3 Apr 2026 1.28 AUD 1.2% 1.26 AUD 0.99 AUD -0.90 33.11 1.4M On
27 Mar 2026 1.27 AUD -4.9% 1.25 AUD 0.99 AUD -0.66 34.48 3.4M On
20 Mar 2026 1.33 AUD -8.9% 1.24 AUD 0.99 AUD -0.22 44.50 2.2M On
13 Mar 2026 1.47 AUD -8.4% 1.22 AUD 0.98 AUD 0.15 57.17 3.4M On