COV PAR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Covivio · Real Estate · Reit - Diversified

Latest close 52.05 EUR
-1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 1.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 52.05 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 1.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.92% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 1.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2212-week average 0.36

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.8% over four weeks, -2.0% over 12 weeks, and -9.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%
4W1.8%
12W-2.0%
26W-2.0%
52W-9.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change17.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

3 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202652.05 EUR-1.9%53.98 EUR47.01 EUR-0.80-10.41744.8KOff
31 Jul 202653.05 EUR-0.1%54.00 EUR46.91 EUR-0.83-6.88479.5KOff
24 Jul 202653.10 EUR1.0%54.05 EUR46.80 EUR-0.87-5.54714.5KOff
17 Jul 202652.55 EUR2.8%54.08 EUR46.69 EUR-0.89-6.30658.8KOff
10 Jul 202651.12 EUR-1.6%54.11 EUR46.60 EUR-0.97-8.89671.5KOff
3 Jul 202651.94 EUR-1.7%54.16 EUR46.52 EUR-1.00-9.3479.4KOff
26 Jun 202652.85 EUR3.9%54.20 EUR46.42 EUR-1.06-6.54119.0KOff
19 Jun 202650.88 EUR-3.5%54.24 EUR46.32 EUR-0.88-10.49524.8KOff
12 Jun 202652.75 EUR-1.3%54.33 EUR46.22 EUR-0.75-6.57109.4KOff
5 Jun 202653.45 EUR-3.3%54.37 EUR46.13 EUR-0.62-3.8474.1KOff
29 May 202655.25 EUR3.1%54.39 EUR46.05 EUR-0.32-0.151.8MOn
22 May 202653.60 EUR0.9%54.36 EUR45.95 EUR-0.21-2.29533.2KOn
15 May 202653.10 EUR-4.2%54.42 EUR45.85 EUR0.06-1.12529.2KOn
8 May 202655.40 EUR-1.4%54.53 EUR45.76 EUR0.431.25645.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context