- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
KCN
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kingsgate Consolidated Limited · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
4.48 AUD
10.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.9%, after a -10.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
28
out of 100
Latest Close
4.48 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-26.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.2%.
Indicator stack
42/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
52/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.9%, after a -10.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3012-week average 0.46
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.2% over four weeks, -26.7% over 12 weeks, and 65.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-95.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-371.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 27%
Model confidence 14%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value47/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality45/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Momentum46/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
4 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-21.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+10.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains12
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.3% / -9.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank87 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Gold
4-week rank89 / 100
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth6.0%
Trend6.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis31/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.30; 1 reversal markers Factors44/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 37; Small Cap Core rank 56 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
ASX Preview: Australian Shares to Rise on Gold Gains; Capstone Copper Q2 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Up Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.48 AUD | 10.9% | 5.49 AUD | 2.62 AUD | -1.10 | -12.89 | 8.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.04 AUD | -1.0% | 5.54 AUD | 2.60 AUD | -1.04 | -18.44 | 7.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.08 AUD | 4.1% | 5.59 AUD | 2.58 AUD | -0.88 | -15.12 | 6.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.92 AUD | -21.4% | 5.64 AUD | 2.56 AUD | -0.72 | -18.12 | 14.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.99 AUD | -4.8% | 5.69 AUD | 2.55 AUD | -0.56 | 4.74 | 4.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.24 AUD | -2.8% | 5.69 AUD | 2.53 AUD | -0.62 | 10.59 | 607.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.39 AUD | -3.8% | 5.67 AUD | 2.50 AUD | -0.69 | 16.11 | 1.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.60 AUD | 9.4% | 5.63 AUD | 2.48 AUD | -0.62 | 21.32 | 9.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.12 AUD | 2.2% | 5.57 AUD | 2.45 AUD | -0.62 | 12.75 | 1.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.01 AUD | -17.6% | 5.55 AUD | 2.42 AUD | -0.32 | 13.90 | 7.6M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.08 AUD | 1.8% | 5.53 AUD | 2.40 AUD | -0.10 | 38.26 | 2.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.97 AUD | -2.3% | 5.45 AUD | 2.37 AUD | -0.12 | 39.35 | 4.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.11 AUD | -12.0% | 5.38 AUD | 2.34 AUD | -0.23 | 45.62 | 11.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.94 AUD | 9.6% | 5.30 AUD | 2.31 AUD | -0.48 | 66.41 | 6.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.