- The trend backdrop is active with a 83-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SWED-A
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Swedbank AB (publ) · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
384.4 SEK
0.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 5.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
77
out of 100
Latest Close
384.4 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.6%.
Indicator stack
100/76
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.59%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a 5.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9912-week average 0.91
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.6% over four weeks, 19.0% over 12 weeks, and 58.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 83 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak83 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change12.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
3 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Financial Services
4-week rank27 / 74
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth47.3%
Trend47.3%active weekly trend signals
MD60.8%positive activity pressure
RS32.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Banks - Regional
4-week rank3 / 9
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS55.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape78/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.99; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.59%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.59% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
UBS raises Swedbank price target to 380 kronor (370), reiterates Neutral Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 384.4 SEK | 0.9% | 333.3 SEK | 224.2 SEK | 1.38 | 12.99 | 6.3M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 381.0 SEK | 2.7% | 330.4 SEK | 222.7 SEK | 1.27 | 14.74 | 6.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 371.0 SEK | 3.2% | 327.6 SEK | 221.2 SEK | 1.17 | 13.91 | 7.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 359.6 SEK | -1.2% | 324.9 SEK | 219.8 SEK | 1.14 | 12.82 | 11.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 364.0 SEK | -0.6% | 322.5 SEK | 218.4 SEK | 1.23 | 13.64 | 6.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 366.2 SEK | 2.0% | 319.7 SEK | 217.0 SEK | 1.12 | 12.43 | 1.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 358.9 SEK | 0.9% | 316.7 SEK | 215.6 SEK | 0.83 | 13.94 | 1.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 355.6 SEK | 2.2% | 313.8 SEK | 214.2 SEK | 0.65 | 12.49 | 13.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 347.9 SEK | 3.5% | 310.6 SEK | 212.8 SEK | 0.40 | 12.79 | 2.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 336.1 SEK | -1.6% | 307.9 SEK | 211.5 SEK | 0.02 | 9.30 | 1.6M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 341.4 SEK | -0.7% | 305.5 SEK | 210.3 SEK | -0.12 | 10.62 | 9.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 343.7 SEK | 6.4% | 302.9 SEK | 208.9 SEK | -0.38 | 11.39 | 8.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 323.1 SEK | -0.2% | 300.1 SEK | 207.6 SEK | -0.67 | 8.84 | 6.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 323.9 SEK | 0.1% | 298.0 SEK | 206.4 SEK | -0.48 | 8.12 | 10.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.