- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
CITY
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Natura City Developments Tbk · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Latest close
174.0 IDR
2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
174.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.85% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%.
Indicator stack
30/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 30.85%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -8.4% over 12 weeks, and 74.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-317.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-62.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-63.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+37.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-23.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew15.4% / -8.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Real Estate
4-week rank49 / 81
Group average11.2%
Trend breadth12.3%
Trend12.3%active weekly trend signals
MD49.4%positive activity pressure
RS61.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Real Estate - Development
4-week rank29 / 50
Group average9.2%
Trend breadth14.0%
Trend14.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS58.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.85%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.85% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 174.0 IDR | 2.4% | 187.9 IDR | 116.5 IDR | -0.10 | 6.42 | 9.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 170.0 IDR | 2.4% | 193.0 IDR | 115.8 IDR | -0.08 | 8.00 | 11.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 166.0 IDR | -4.0% | 200.1 IDR | 115.0 IDR | -0.12 | 7.33 | 5.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 173.0 IDR | 2.4% | 205.9 IDR | 114.3 IDR | 0.00 | 13.45 | 13.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 169.0 IDR | 7.6% | 215.5 IDR | 113.5 IDR | 0.05 | 16.96 | 25.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 157.0 IDR | -5.4% | 225.3 IDR | 112.7 IDR | -0.12 | 10.99 | 490.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 166.0 IDR | -3.5% | 229.9 IDR | 112.0 IDR | -0.23 | 18.29 | 3.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 172.0 IDR | 30.3% | 230.4 IDR | 111.3 IDR | -0.32 | 18.49 | 10.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 132.0 IDR | 5.6% | 230.9 IDR | 110.6 IDR | -0.41 | -5.30 | 426.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 125.0 IDR | -22.8% | 232.6 IDR | 110.2 IDR | -0.30 | -2.92 | 209.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 162.0 IDR | -1.2% | 234.2 IDR | 109.8 IDR | -0.21 | 15.78 | 1.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 164.0 IDR | -13.7% | 234.4 IDR | 109.1 IDR | -0.12 | 17.89 | 17.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 190.0 IDR | -0.5% | 234.8 IDR | 108.5 IDR | -0.19 | 26.64 | 22.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 191.0 IDR | -5.4% | 232.3 IDR | 107.7 IDR | -0.19 | 24.44 | 4.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.