7084 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Smile Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Latest close 2,748 JPY
0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 2,748 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.7% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -3.6% over 12 weeks, and 43.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.7%
4W-1.0%
12W-3.6%
26W-16.6%
52W43.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change119.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change16.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+42.1%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol12.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262,748 JPY0.7%2,845 JPY1,545 JPY0.10-16.2210.0KOff
31 Jul 20262,730 JPY-1.0%2,850 JPY1,534 JPY0.03-15.2815.3KOff
24 Jul 20262,757 JPY-0.1%2,855 JPY1,522 JPY-0.17-14.9111.8KOff
17 Jul 20262,760 JPY-0.6%2,860 JPY1,510 JPY-0.33-14.2016.1KOff
10 Jul 20262,776 JPY0.4%2,865 JPY1,498 JPY-0.49-19.3115.0KOff
3 Jul 20262,764 JPY-0.9%2,870 JPY1,486 JPY-0.84-21.162.6KOff
26 Jun 20262,788 JPY1.2%2,875 JPY1,475 JPY-1.09-20.162.1KOff
19 Jun 20262,755 JPY42.1%2,880 JPY1,463 JPY-1.26-23.317.2KOff
12 Jun 20261,939 JPY-9.0%2,884 JPY1,451 JPY-1.42-41.8921.6KOff
5 Jun 20262,130 JPY-9.8%2,899 JPY1,445 JPY-1.37-37.052.4KOff
29 May 20262,361 JPY-6.1%2,906 JPY1,438 JPY-1.24-30.2563.7KOff
22 May 20262,515 JPY-11.8%2,904 JPY1,430 JPY-1.22-22.4743.1KOff
15 May 20262,852 JPY-2.9%2,901 JPY1,420 JPY-1.19-9.5310.9KOff
8 May 20262,936 JPY0.8%2,886 JPY1,408 JPY-1.15-8.652.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context