RICA LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ruffer Investment Company Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management

Latest close 299.0 GBP
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 299.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 4.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W1.5%
12W-2.6%
26W-1.1%
52W4.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change47.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 56%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength78/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
19.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
409.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
255.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
385.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
281.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
17.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
19.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-2.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks3
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol0.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew0.9% / -1.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026299.0 GBP0.8%302.5 GBP281.5 GBP-0.82-7.656.1MOff
31 Jul 2026296.5 GBP1.2%302.4 GBP281.4 GBP-1.06-8.374.1MOff
24 Jul 2026293.0 GBP-0.5%302.4 GBP281.2 GBP-1.27-8.584.3MOff
17 Jul 2026294.5 GBP0.0%302.4 GBP281.1 GBP-1.40-7.174.0MOff
10 Jul 2026294.5 GBP0.9%302.3 GBP281.0 GBP-1.54-6.492.9MOff
3 Jul 2026292.0 GBP-0.5%302.3 GBP280.9 GBP-1.63-9.06447.3KOff
26 Jun 2026293.5 GBP0.2%302.4 GBP280.8 GBP-1.62-7.38464.6KOff
19 Jun 2026293.0 GBP-1.7%302.4 GBP280.7 GBP-1.54-6.51730.0KOff
12 Jun 2026298.0 GBP-0.7%302.5 GBP280.6 GBP-1.39-6.15676.3KOff
5 Jun 2026300.0 GBP-1.5%302.3 GBP280.5 GBP-1.16-4.79847.7KOn
29 May 2026304.5 GBP0.2%302.1 GBP280.4 GBP-0.94-3.932.3MOn
22 May 2026304.0 GBP-1.0%302.0 GBP280.3 GBP-0.67-4.773.2MOn
15 May 2026307.0 GBP0.0%301.9 GBP280.1 GBP-0.49-1.473.0MOn
8 May 2026307.0 GBP-0.6%301.6 GBP280.0 GBP-0.06-1.962.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context