- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.65% based on similar historical setup states.
NUN
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nu Holdings Ltd. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
236.6 MXN
-4.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a -1.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
236.6 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
11.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.9%.
Indicator stack
28/97
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.65%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a -1.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2412-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.9% over four weeks, 11.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change448.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-13.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-4.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Financial Services
4-week rank48 / 80
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Banks - Regional
4-week rank11 / 14
Group average1.6%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD64.3%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.65%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.65% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 236.6 MXN | -4.7% | 252.2 MXN | 230.1 MXN | 0.62 | -13.90 | 58.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 248.3 MXN | 0.6% | 254.8 MXN | 229.4 MXN | 0.70 | -9.81 | 34.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 246.8 MXN | 3.5% | 256.7 MXN | 228.7 MXN | 0.49 | -9.73 | 345.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 238.5 MXN | -1.1% | 258.5 MXN | 227.9 MXN | 0.12 | -13.26 | 95.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 241.1 MXN | 3.4% | 260.4 MXN | 227.3 MXN | -0.18 | -12.44 | 263.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 233.1 MXN | 1.6% | 262.5 MXN | 226.6 MXN | -0.62 | -16.29 | 1.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 229.4 MXN | 2.9% | 264.9 MXN | 225.9 MXN | -0.83 | -18.13 | 40.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 223.0 MXN | 6.5% | 267.9 MXN | 225.3 MXN | -0.93 | -21.32 | 1.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 209.4 MXN | -0.1% | 270.2 MXN | 224.7 MXN | -0.93 | -26.68 | 25.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 209.7 MXN | -7.9% | 273.0 MXN | 224.2 MXN | -0.89 | -24.87 | 17.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 227.7 MXN | 3.1% | 275.7 MXN | 223.7 MXN | -0.94 | -21.62 | 194.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 220.8 MXN | 4.2% | 278.1 MXN | 223.0 MXN | -1.04 | -23.95 | 270.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 212.0 MXN | -10.9% | 280.5 MXN | 222.4 MXN | -1.09 | -26.84 | 187.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 237.9 MXN | -6.5% | 282.6 MXN | 221.8 MXN | -1.08 | -20.57 | 61.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.