- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
UPL
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
UPL Limited · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Latest close
573.0 INR
-5.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
573.0 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-5.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.7%.
Indicator stack
30/41
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.7% over four weeks, -9.4% over 12 weeks, and -16.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-34.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 21.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 48.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 114.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -35.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -3.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -2.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-15.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-5.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank85 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank33 / 47
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth19.1%
Trend19.1%active weekly trend signals
MD36.2%positive activity pressure
RS14.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors78/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 88 SVQF96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 65.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
UPL Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 573.0 INR | -5.2% | 641.9 INR | 606.5 INR | -0.33 | -14.45 | 16.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 604.3 INR | 0.3% | 648.6 INR | 606.6 INR | -0.18 | -9.40 | 7.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 602.5 INR | -2.3% | 655.2 INR | 606.6 INR | -0.18 | -7.48 | 6.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 616.6 INR | 4.7% | 661.0 INR | 606.6 INR | -0.17 | -7.76 | 11.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 589.0 INR | -2.1% | 665.5 INR | 606.6 INR | -0.25 | -11.55 | 12.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 601.6 INR | 2.9% | 670.8 INR | 606.8 INR | -0.33 | -10.01 | 3.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 584.8 INR | -3.0% | 676.0 INR | 607.1 INR | -0.26 | -11.84 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 602.8 INR | -0.2% | 681.8 INR | 607.7 INR | -0.13 | -9.00 | 4.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 604.3 INR | -5.2% | 686.8 INR | 608.0 INR | -0.15 | -7.27 | 1.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 637.5 INR | -1.1% | 691.9 INR | 608.4 INR | -0.13 | -1.09 | 2.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 644.8 INR | 2.0% | 695.6 INR | 608.6 INR | -0.21 | -0.59 | 10.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 632.0 INR | -0.0% | 698.1 INR | 608.7 INR | -0.33 | -3.12 | 8.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 632.2 INR | -2.1% | 699.4 INR | 608.9 INR | -0.52 | -2.67 | 18.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 646.0 INR | 0.6% | 700.8 INR | 609.1 INR | -0.67 | -2.66 | 9.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.