- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
CS1
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Expand Energy Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
80.40 EUR
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 42.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
80.40 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 18 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 42.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 74%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum45/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework91/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 6.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 51.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 31.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 19.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 188.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 20450.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 35 relevant articles.
7 positive · 26 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 177 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains6
Flat weeks3
Modest losses4
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split7/7Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Energy
4-week rank13 / 20
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth65.0%
Trend65.0%active weekly trend signals
MD35.0%positive activity pressure
RS75.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average7.3%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS80.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis5/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors84/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 31; Small Cap Core rank 13 SVQF91/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 34.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 35 relevant articles.
How Will These 3 Energy Stocks Perform This Earnings Season? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 80.40 EUR | -0.4% | - | 79.83 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 80.76 EUR | -0.6% | - | 79.79 EUR | 0.00 | - | 485 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 81.22 EUR | 5.3% | - | 79.73 EUR | 0.00 | - | 68 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 77.15 EUR | 2.0% | - | 79.63 EUR | 0.00 | - | 154 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 75.64 EUR | -4.0% | - | 79.81 EUR | 0.00 | - | 70 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 78.83 EUR | -0.1% | - | 80.13 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 78.92 EUR | 2.9% | - | 80.24 EUR | 0.00 | - | 39 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 76.73 EUR | 0.0% | - | 80.36 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 76.71 EUR | -4.6% | - | 80.72 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 80.42 EUR | 1.2% | - | 81.17 EUR | 0.00 | - | 29 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 79.50 EUR | -4.6% | - | 81.26 EUR | 0.00 | - | 459 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 83.32 EUR | 2.6% | - | 81.52 EUR | 0.00 | - | 377 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 81.21 EUR | 0.7% | - | 81.22 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 80.63 EUR | 0.0% | - | 81.22 EUR | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.