V1L GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Valero Energy Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 259.8 EUR
-3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 70/100.

Setup score 80 out of 100
Latest Close 259.8 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 132-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 32.65% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%. Indicator stack 100/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 32.65% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 70/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9112-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 22.8% over 12 weeks, and 142.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 132 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.0%
4W6.4%
12W22.8%
26W58.0%
52W142.2%
Active trend streak132 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change960.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership35.64Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-16.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value65/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework50/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
5.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
4.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-10.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-12.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment70/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 30 relevant articles.

19 positive · 15 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-3.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average6.4%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

V1L · GER6.4%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape81/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 81/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.91; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 32.65%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 32.65% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 42 SVQF50/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 188.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment70/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 30 relevant articles.

Valero Energy (VLO) Is Up 9.2% After Robust Q2 Earnings And US$8.4 Billion Buyback Completion Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026259.8 EUR-3.0%206.9 EUR127.6 EUR1.4835.642.6KOn
31 Jul 2026267.8 EUR0.7%203.7 EUR126.5 EUR1.2745.681.4KOn
24 Jul 2026266.0 EUR5.4%199.4 EUR125.5 EUR0.8150.12780On
17 Jul 2026252.5 EUR3.4%195.1 EUR124.4 EUR0.2946.50243On
10 Jul 2026244.2 EUR4.8%191.3 EUR123.4 EUR-0.1742.66219On
3 Jul 2026233.0 EUR3.9%187.9 EUR122.5 EUR-0.3334.415On
26 Jun 2026224.4 EUR10.9%185.2 EUR121.6 EUR-0.3037.0320On
19 Jun 2026202.4 EUR-10.4%182.7 EUR120.8 EUR-0.2523.7212On
12 Jun 2026225.8 EUR-0.5%180.9 EUR120.2 EUR-0.0641.4643On
5 Jun 2026227.0 EUR8.5%178.3 EUR119.4 EUR0.0243.49123On
29 May 2026209.3 EUR-1.2%175.6 EUR118.6 EUR0.0732.39709On
22 May 2026211.9 EUR0.1%173.4 EUR117.9 EUR0.3036.83339On
15 May 2026211.6 EUR3.8%171.2 EUR117.2 EUR0.3543.77657On
8 May 2026203.9 EUR-4.6%168.6 EUR116.4 EUR0.3638.26878On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context