NDA VIE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aurubis AG · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Latest close 175.5 EUR
-3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 65.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 3.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 175.5 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 60-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.02% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 65.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 3.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.7% over four weeks, -14.5% over 12 weeks, and 84.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 60 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.9%
4W3.7%
12W-14.5%
26W7.7%
52W84.9%
Active trend streak60 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-44.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1101.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-3.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026175.5 EUR-3.9%176.5 EUR97.73 EUR-1.15-1.1356On
31 Jul 2026182.7 EUR2.5%175.0 EUR97.06 EUR-1.186.51112On
24 Jul 2026178.2 EUR4.1%173.1 EUR96.40 EUR-1.184.60392On
17 Jul 2026171.1 EUR1.1%171.1 EUR95.77 EUR-1.092.42280On
10 Jul 2026169.2 EUR-5.8%169.3 EUR95.16 EUR-0.79-0.090On
3 Jul 2026179.6 EUR-2.5%167.5 EUR94.58 EUR-0.455.1356On
26 Jun 2026184.2 EUR-5.5%165.5 EUR93.91 EUR-0.0211.150On
19 Jun 2026194.9 EUR-0.4%163.3 EUR93.21 EUR0.3816.200On
12 Jun 2026195.7 EUR-7.5%160.3 EUR92.44 EUR0.4422.7468On
5 Jun 2026211.6 EUR-2.8%157.4 EUR91.70 EUR0.6637.890On
29 May 2026217.6 EUR9.6%154.0 EUR90.82 EUR0.6042.110On
22 May 2026198.5 EUR-3.3%150.5 EUR89.90 EUR0.4435.13136On
15 May 2026205.2 EUR10.2%147.5 EUR89.07 EUR0.4244.381.8KOn
8 May 2026186.2 EUR2.1%144.1 EUR88.22 EUR0.3932.362.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context