- The trend backdrop is active with a 66-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
0745
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
China National Culture Group Limited · Communication Services · Advertising Agencies
Latest close
5.60 HKD
-15.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 113.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.8%, after a 21.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
5.60 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-15.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
21.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
34.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.79% based on similar historical setup states.
- 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-15.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 21.5%.
Indicator stack
100/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.79%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 113.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.8%, after a 21.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 1.0012-week average 0.98
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 21.5% over four weeks, 34.6% over 12 weeks, and 788.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 66 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak66 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change18.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership210.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-16.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+86.8%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-15.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks3
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol12.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.9% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Communication Services
4-week rank7 / 100
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Advertising Agencies
4-week rank5 / 46
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth21.7%
Trend21.7%active weekly trend signals
MD30.4%positive activity pressure
RS28.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 1.00; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.79%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.79% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
China National Culture Group sets AGM to seek fresh share issue and buyback mandates Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.60 HKD | -15.8% | 2.62 HKD | 0.73 HKD | 1.17 | 210.61 | 392.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.65 HKD | -1.5% | 2.46 HKD | 0.69 HKD | 1.20 | 286.16 | 905.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.75 HKD | 32.4% | 2.26 HKD | 0.65 HKD | 1.12 | 335.37 | 2.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.10 HKD | 10.6% | 2.06 HKD | 0.61 HKD | 1.01 | 261.45 | 1.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.61 HKD | 2.4% | 1.91 HKD | 0.58 HKD | 0.98 | 252.86 | 376.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.50 HKD | 4.2% | 1.78 HKD | 0.55 HKD | 1.01 | 278.68 | 64.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.32 HKD | 10.2% | 1.65 HKD | 0.53 HKD | 1.06 | 301.76 | 181.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.92 HKD | -1.5% | 1.53 HKD | 0.50 HKD | 1.12 | 272.91 | 509.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.98 HKD | 0.8% | 1.41 HKD | 0.48 HKD | 1.24 | 293.46 | 100.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.95 HKD | 3.9% | 1.30 HKD | 0.46 HKD | 1.40 | 316.84 | 151.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.80 HKD | -2.1% | 1.19 HKD | 0.44 HKD | 1.55 | 330.43 | 494.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.88 HKD | -6.7% | 1.08 HKD | 0.42 HKD | 1.66 | 369.15 | 1.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.16 HKD | 23.1% | 0.97 HKD | 0.39 HKD | 1.62 | 442.66 | 6.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.38 HKD | 70.7% | 0.85 HKD | 0.37 HKD | 1.47 | 381.62 | 6.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.