- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
IRFC
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited · Financial Services · Credit Services
Latest close
88.75 INR
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -1.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100.
Setup score
20
out of 100
Latest Close
88.75 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.3%.
Indicator stack
0/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.14%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
43/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -1.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.3% over four weeks, -10.2% over 12 weeks, and -27.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-526.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework2/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 79.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -7.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 25.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 25.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -151.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -428.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 62.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment43/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
0 positive · 15 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 2619 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses16
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Financial Services
4-week rank53 / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth59.0%
Trend59.0%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS57.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Credit Services
4-week rank32 / 63
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth60.3%
Trend60.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS52.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape15/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 15/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.14%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.14% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors12/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 38 SVQF2/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1554.5 of 1580 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
IRFC Q1 Results Today: Time, Earnings Call, Dividend, What To Watch, Share Price Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 88.75 INR | -0.4% | 99.86 INR | 123.6 INR | -0.90 | -17.60 | 38.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 89.15 INR | 1.7% | 100.9 INR | 123.4 INR | -0.75 | -17.11 | 49.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 87.62 INR | -0.9% | 102.2 INR | 123.1 INR | -0.66 | -16.93 | 29.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 88.41 INR | -1.7% | 103.7 INR | 122.7 INR | -0.45 | -18.68 | 31.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 89.90 INR | -0.7% | 104.5 INR | 122.4 INR | -0.14 | -17.45 | 45.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 90.57 INR | -1.3% | 105.2 INR | 122.0 INR | -0.10 | -17.60 | 11.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 91.77 INR | -7.8% | 106.0 INR | 121.6 INR | -0.01 | -16.35 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 99.51 INR | 3.8% | 106.8 INR | 121.2 INR | 0.01 | -9.72 | 13.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 95.89 INR | -0.6% | 107.4 INR | 120.8 INR | -0.11 | -11.97 | 9.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 96.47 INR | -1.1% | 108.2 INR | 120.4 INR | -0.15 | -11.00 | 8.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 97.51 INR | -0.7% | 109.0 INR | 119.9 INR | -0.13 | -11.32 | 38.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 98.19 INR | -0.7% | 109.8 INR | 119.5 INR | -0.13 | -11.85 | 42.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 98.86 INR | -6.8% | 110.6 INR | 119.1 INR | -0.10 | -11.42 | 62.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 106.0 INR | 1.7% | 111.4 INR | 118.6 INR | -0.12 | -7.56 | 61.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.