- The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ALFE
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alfen N.V. · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Latest close
12.95 EUR
2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -2.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
12.95 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.80% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.8%.
Indicator stack
62/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.80%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -2.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6012-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.8% over four weeks, -3.9% over 12 weeks, and 11.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-156.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-204.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.9%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS18.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Electrical Equipment & Parts
4-week rank6 / 12
Group average-2.8%
Trend breadth58.3%
Trend58.3%active weekly trend signals
MD16.7%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis74/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.60; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.80%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.80% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Alfen N.V.: Financial Data Forecasts Estimates and Expectations | ALFEN | NL0012817175 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.95 EUR | 2.4% | 12.09 EUR | 19.75 EUR | -0.34 | -5.32 | 0 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.65 EUR | -2.8% | 12.01 EUR | 19.80 EUR | -0.12 | -5.18 | 682 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 13.01 EUR | -2.0% | 11.95 EUR | 19.85 EUR | 0.13 | -2.88 | 341 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 13.28 EUR | -0.3% | 11.86 EUR | 19.90 EUR | 0.39 | 0.10 | 1.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.32 EUR | -9.2% | 11.76 EUR | 19.95 EUR | 0.60 | -1.74 | 941 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14.67 EUR | -2.5% | 11.66 EUR | 20.00 EUR | 0.72 | 6.56 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.05 EUR | -4.6% | 11.52 EUR | 20.04 EUR | 0.87 | 11.87 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.78 EUR | 8.6% | 11.37 EUR | 20.08 EUR | 1.02 | 15.04 | 150 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 14.53 EUR | -8.3% | 11.16 EUR | 20.11 EUR | 1.16 | 10.56 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 15.84 EUR | -4.5% | 11.00 EUR | 20.15 EUR | 1.25 | 23.83 | 367 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 16.58 EUR | -7.5% | 10.80 EUR | 20.18 EUR | 1.21 | 28.42 | 1.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 17.92 EUR | 32.9% | 10.57 EUR | 20.21 EUR | 1.04 | 42.80 | 0 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 13.48 EUR | 9.1% | 10.32 EUR | 20.23 EUR | 0.84 | 10.18 | 840 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 12.35 EUR | 4.0% | 10.20 EUR | 20.28 EUR | 0.57 | 0.44 | 99 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.