- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BERGEPAINT
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Berger Paints India Limited · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
530.5 INR
2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 7.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
530.5 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
17.3%
9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.91% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.5%.
Indicator stack
30/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.91%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 7.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5812-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.5% over four weeks, -0.5% over 12 weeks, and -3.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-82.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change579.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum34/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework33/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 52.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 5.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 31.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 42.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -4.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 21.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 31 relevant articles.
7 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Basic Materials
4-week rank19 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS63.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank38 / 100
Group average5.8%
Trend breadth77.0%
Trend77.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS72.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.58; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.91%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.91% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 66 SVQF33/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1056.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 31 relevant articles.
Berger Paints India Shares Gain 2.09%, Financials Show Mixed Trends Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 530.5 INR | 2.8% | 482.6 INR | 527.8 INR | 0.16 | 5.41 | 3.7M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 516.2 INR | 4.4% | 482.0 INR | 528.1 INR | 0.14 | 3.25 | 1.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 494.2 INR | 0.9% | 482.3 INR | 528.5 INR | 0.26 | 1.25 | 1.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 490.0 INR | -0.7% | 483.9 INR | 528.9 INR | 0.50 | -2.09 | 790.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 493.5 INR | -4.3% | 485.5 INR | 529.4 INR | 0.88 | -1.13 | 1.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 515.6 INR | -4.3% | 487.1 INR | 529.8 INR | 0.97 | 2.80 | 490.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 538.7 INR | -2.2% | 488.4 INR | 530.0 INR | 0.92 | 8.16 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 550.7 INR | 6.9% | 489.2 INR | 530.1 INR | 0.86 | 10.75 | 7.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 515.2 INR | 5.1% | 490.2 INR | 530.1 INR | 0.66 | 5.49 | 383.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 490.2 INR | -2.1% | 492.3 INR | 530.3 INR | 0.87 | 1.38 | 175.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 500.6 INR | -0.1% | 493.7 INR | 530.6 INR | 1.05 | 2.53 | 1.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 501.1 INR | -6.1% | 495.1 INR | 530.8 INR | 0.96 | 1.75 | 1.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 533.5 INR | 3.4% | 496.6 INR | 531.0 INR | 0.79 | 8.55 | 14.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 515.8 INR | 9.0% | 496.9 INR | 530.9 INR | 0.41 | 2.61 | 2.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.