- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
PGF
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund Limited · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
3.36 AUD
-0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 2.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
74
out of 100
Latest Close
3.36 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.1%.
Indicator stack
99/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.81%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 2.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8212-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.1% over four weeks, 13.1% over 12 weeks, and 28.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-34.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 64%
Model confidence 32%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -7.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 34.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 14.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -472.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -9.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -5.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
2 positive · 15 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-3.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks3
Modest losses9
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank49 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Asset Management
4-week rank41 / 100
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD72.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.82; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.81%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.81% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 82; Small Cap Core rank 81 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Why Is PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund (ASX:PGF) in Dividend Focus? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.36 AUD | -0.3% | 3.05 AUD | 2.31 AUD | 1.09 | 10.19 | 2.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.37 AUD | 4.3% | 3.03 AUD | 2.30 AUD | 1.08 | 14.49 | 1.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.23 AUD | -1.8% | 3.01 AUD | 2.29 AUD | 1.06 | 12.80 | 1.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.29 AUD | 0.0% | 3.00 AUD | 2.28 AUD | 1.07 | 15.12 | 1.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.29 AUD | -0.3% | 2.99 AUD | 2.26 AUD | 0.90 | 15.61 | 1.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.30 AUD | 0.6% | 2.97 AUD | 2.25 AUD | 0.61 | 16.04 | 626.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.28 AUD | 5.5% | 2.95 AUD | 2.24 AUD | 0.33 | 17.00 | 484.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.11 AUD | 1.6% | 2.93 AUD | 2.23 AUD | -0.09 | 10.73 | 481.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.06 AUD | 1.3% | 2.92 AUD | 2.22 AUD | -0.41 | 9.74 | 738.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.02 AUD | 2.0% | 2.90 AUD | 2.21 AUD | -0.45 | 11.01 | 1.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.96 AUD | 2.8% | 2.89 AUD | 2.20 AUD | -0.59 | 7.97 | 415.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.88 AUD | -3.0% | 2.88 AUD | 2.19 AUD | -0.60 | 6.35 | 1.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.97 AUD | 0.3% | 2.88 AUD | 2.18 AUD | -0.51 | 10.31 | 2.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.96 AUD | 1.0% | 2.86 AUD | 2.17 AUD | -0.66 | 8.91 | 1.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.