T1AL34 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TAL Education Group · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Latest close 6.26 BRL
-1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 18.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 6.26 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return 18.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 18.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.1% over four weeks, 14.9% over 12 weeks, and 0.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.1%
4W18.1%
12W14.9%
26W-4.1%
52W0.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change144.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change121.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

2 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.26 BRL-1.1%5.58 BRL5.85 BRL0.563.7013.6KOff
31 Jul 20266.33 BRL21.3%5.57 BRL5.83 BRL0.111.1080.2KOff
24 Jul 20265.22 BRL-0.6%5.57 BRL5.81 BRL-0.54-15.142.0KOff
17 Jul 20265.25 BRL-0.9%5.59 BRL5.80 BRL-0.83-15.022.0KOff
10 Jul 20265.30 BRL3.3%5.62 BRL5.79 BRL-1.26-16.91946Off
3 Jul 20265.13 BRL5.8%5.65 BRL5.77 BRL-1.57-18.525Off
26 Jun 20264.85 BRL3.2%5.68 BRL5.76 BRL-1.73-22.95101Off
19 Jun 20264.70 BRL-1.3%5.72 BRL5.75 BRL-1.71-23.820Off
12 Jun 20264.76 BRL-2.7%5.76 BRL5.73 BRL-1.65-24.5958Off
5 Jun 20264.89 BRL0.0%5.80 BRL5.72 BRL-1.54-22.23489Off
29 May 20264.89 BRL-0.2%5.84 BRL5.71 BRL-1.47-24.96258Off
22 May 20264.90 BRL-10.1%5.91 BRL5.70 BRL-1.22-26.329.9KOff
15 May 20265.45 BRL0.4%5.98 BRL5.69 BRL-0.91-19.2812.4KOff
8 May 20265.43 BRL-0.5%6.00 BRL5.67 BRL-0.48-23.026.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context