GHCL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

GHCL Limited · Basic Materials · Chemicals

Latest close 436.0 INR
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 436.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 0.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 0.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -5.3% over 12 weeks, and -20.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W0.0%
12W-5.3%
26W-15.0%
52W-20.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change308.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength93/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Value98/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-20.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
31.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
7.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026436.0 INR-0.3%464.5 INR555.5 INR0.04-14.75888.2KOff
31 Jul 2026437.1 INR0.2%468.1 INR555.9 INR-0.01-14.26821.2KOff
24 Jul 2026436.2 INR0.6%472.4 INR556.5 INR-0.10-12.70472.1KOff
17 Jul 2026433.8 INR-0.5%476.8 INR556.9 INR-0.07-15.68701.9KOff
10 Jul 2026436.0 INR1.4%481.3 INR557.3 INR-0.02-15.28801.3KOff
3 Jul 2026430.1 INR0.2%486.0 INR557.7 INR-0.11-17.07212.9KOff
26 Jun 2026429.1 INR-1.4%491.7 INR558.2 INR-0.14-16.990Off
19 Jun 2026435.4 INR3.9%496.5 INR558.7 INR0.04-16.04392.3KOff
12 Jun 2026419.1 INR-2.3%501.9 INR559.0 INR0.11-18.14476.1KOff
5 Jun 2026429.2 INR-3.0%508.1 INR559.3 INR0.25-15.80279.1KOff
29 May 2026442.2 INR2.0%514.4 INR559.5 INR0.53-14.382.9MOff
22 May 2026433.5 INR-5.8%521.0 INR559.5 INR0.48-17.07995.5KOff
15 May 2026460.2 INR-7.5%528.2 INR559.7 INR0.41-12.20713.6KOff
8 May 2026497.5 INR0.8%533.8 INR559.8 INR0.37-7.561.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context