HBBD SES Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Latest close 4.04 SGD
5.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 11.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 4.04 SGD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.8% latest completed week
4W Return 11.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 11.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0512-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.6% over four weeks, -6.1% over 12 weeks, and 5.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.8%
4W11.6%
12W-6.1%
26W-20.3%
52W5.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change131.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

3 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustrySG Internet Retail
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average8.7%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20264.04 SGD5.8%4.21 SGD4.23 SGD0.25-25.972.0MOff
31 Jul 20263.82 SGD5.2%4.24 SGD4.23 SGD0.03-29.411.2MOff
24 Jul 20263.63 SGD-1.9%4.28 SGD4.24 SGD-0.36-32.761.6MOff
17 Jul 20263.70 SGD2.2%4.32 SGD4.24 SGD-0.54-30.831.5MOff
10 Jul 20263.62 SGD16.0%4.35 SGD4.25 SGD-0.80-32.132.0MOff
3 Jul 20263.12 SGD4.7%4.40 SGD4.26 SGD-0.99-39.21225.8KOff
26 Jun 20262.98 SGD-14.4%4.47 SGD4.27 SGD-0.79-41.651.1MOff
19 Jun 20263.48 SGD-4.1%4.54 SGD4.29 SGD-0.70-32.3472.9KOff
12 Jun 20263.63 SGD-9.1%4.59 SGD4.30 SGD-0.56-27.46165.9KOff
5 Jun 20264.00 SGD1.0%4.64 SGD4.31 SGD-0.43-20.9092.2KOff
29 May 20263.96 SGD-3.9%4.69 SGD4.31 SGD-0.50-21.751.1MOff
22 May 20264.11 SGD-4.4%4.74 SGD4.32 SGD-0.74-19.37985.9KOff
15 May 20264.30 SGD-4.0%4.79 SGD4.32 SGD-0.95-14.641.1MOff
8 May 20264.48 SGD7.9%4.82 SGD4.32 SGD-1.09-10.23874.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context