HKG Equity Snapshot

2611 Weekly Equity Report

Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd.

Latest Close 14.61 HKD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 9.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. provides wealth management, investment banking, institutional and trading, and investment management services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers securities and futures brokerage, financial products, investment advisory, stock pledging, margin financing and securities lending, and agreed securities repurchase and other services; and sponsorship, equity and debt underwriting, structured debt financing, M&A financial advisory services, and diversified corporate solutions to corporate and government clients. The company also provides research and institutional brokerage services, such as prime brokers, seat leasing, custody and outsourcing, and QFII and other services to institutional …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

2611 closed the latest completed week at 14.61 HKD. The 4-week return is 9.8% and the 12-week return is 5.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.15. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 57/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -2.0%
Volume 1.5x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 39 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 77 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 54 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 64 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 62 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 45 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
14.90 HKD
Vs Trend Line
-2.0%
Fair Value
10.78 HKD
Vs Fair Value
35.6%
52W High
17.99 HKD
52W Low
10.86 HKD
Drawdown
-18.8%
Range Position
52.6%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 5.6%
4W 9.8%
12W 5.5%
26W -11.1%
52W 27.3%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
37
52W Active Breadth
71.2%
Sector Scope
HK Financial Services
Sector Rank
30 of 204
Sector Percentile
85.7%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.15
4W MD Change
85.4%
Relative Strength
1.56
4W RS Change
114.4%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
45.42%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
75.7M
13W Average
51.2M
52W Average
82.8M
Vs 13W
1.5x
Vs 52W
0.9x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.5%
52W Volatility
5.5%
Upside Weeks
27
Downside Weeks
25
Downside Breadth
48.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.6% / -3.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
HKG
Country
HK
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Capital Markets
Currency
HKD
Market Cap
240.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 14.61 HKD 5.6% 14.90 HKD 10.78 HKD -0.15 1.56 75.7M Off
5 Jun 2026 13.84 HKD 6.0% 14.95 HKD 10.73 HKD -0.59 -4.38 82.7M Off
29 May 2026 13.06 HKD -0.2% 15.00 HKD 10.70 HKD -0.94 -10.26 73.2M Off
22 May 2026 13.08 HKD -1.7% 15.04 HKD 10.66 HKD -1.03 -11.40 47.2M Off
15 May 2026 13.31 HKD -1.0% 15.11 HKD 10.63 HKD -1.05 -10.89 58.9M Off
8 May 2026 13.45 HKD 3.3% 15.16 HKD 10.60 HKD -1.12 -11.21 28.6M Off
1 May 2026 13.02 HKD -2.0% 15.20 HKD 10.57 HKD -1.13 -11.80 47.4M Off
24 Apr 2026 13.29 HKD -5.8% 15.29 HKD 10.54 HKD -1.19 -10.51 40.8M Off
17 Apr 2026 14.11 HKD 1.8% 15.33 HKD 10.50 HKD -1.18 -5.55 33.7M Off
10 Apr 2026 13.86 HKD 4.6% 15.39 HKD 10.47 HKD -1.20 -5.98 37.8M Off
3 Apr 2026 13.25 HKD 0.2% 15.47 HKD 10.43 HKD -1.16 -7.13 37.3M Off
27 Mar 2026 13.22 HKD -4.6% 15.53 HKD 10.39 HKD -1.16 -6.53 59.1M Off
20 Mar 2026 13.85 HKD 1.2% 15.61 HKD 10.36 HKD -1.00 -3.11 42.7M Off
13 Mar 2026 13.69 HKD -6.1% 15.71 HKD 10.32 HKD -0.63 -4.72 87.3M Off