- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
COST
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
818.2 EUR
-1.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 2.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
818.2 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
-1.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.8%.
Indicator stack
19/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 2.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4512-week average 0.69
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.8% over four weeks, -9.0% over 12 weeks, and -2.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.92Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.
2 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Defensive
4-week rank27 / 58
Group average1.7%
Trend breadth51.7%
Trend51.7%active weekly trend signals
MD62.1%positive activity pressure
RS5.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Discount Stores
4-week rank4 / 5
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.45; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 5 relevant articles.
Can digital sales surge fuel Costco stock? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 818.2 EUR | -1.0% | 841.8 EUR | 769.9 EUR | -0.92 | -18.61 | 0 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 826.4 EUR | 1.1% | 840.9 EUR | 767.9 EUR | -0.98 | -15.89 | 0 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 817.4 EUR | -1.0% | 837.6 EUR | 765.6 EUR | -0.89 | -17.37 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 825.4 EUR | 3.7% | 834.4 EUR | 763.6 EUR | -0.83 | -15.86 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 795.6 EUR | -4.2% | 831.1 EUR | 761.4 EUR | -0.81 | -20.91 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 830.5 EUR | -1.2% | 829.3 EUR | 759.2 EUR | -0.70 | -19.07 | 10 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 840.4 EUR | 1.3% | 827.3 EUR | 756.9 EUR | -0.68 | -16.70 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 829.7 EUR | -1.2% | 825.4 EUR | 754.5 EUR | -0.72 | -19.86 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 839.8 EUR | -1.8% | 823.5 EUR | 752.1 EUR | -0.41 | -16.10 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 855.0 EUR | 5.2% | 821.8 EUR | 749.7 EUR | -0.13 | -12.78 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 812.8 EUR | -8.4% | 819.9 EUR | 747.1 EUR | -0.00 | -18.53 | 0 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 887.6 EUR | -1.3% | 819.2 EUR | 744.9 EUR | 0.17 | -9.35 | 3 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 899.5 EUR | 4.7% | 816.3 EUR | 742.1 EUR | 0.27 | -6.81 | 1 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 859.1 EUR | 1.1% | 813.0 EUR | 739.1 EUR | 0.29 | -11.88 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.